Amazon (Brazil) Market Value

AMZO34 Stock  BRL 68.16  0.45  0.66%   
Amazon's market value is the price at which a share of Amazon trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Amazon Inc investors about its performance. Amazon is trading at 68.16 as of the 11th of December 2024, a 0.66 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 68.61.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Amazon Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Amazon over a given investment horizon. Check out Amazon Correlation, Amazon Volatility and Amazon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Amazon.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Amazon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amazon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amazon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Amazon 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Amazon's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Amazon.
0.00
11/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Amazon on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Amazon Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Amazon over 30 days. Amazon is related to or competes with Micron Technology, STMicroelectronics, Unity Software, Extra Space, Electronic Arts, Multilaser Industrial, and Tres Tentos. Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products and subscriptions in North America and internationally More

Amazon Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Amazon's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Amazon Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Amazon Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Amazon's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Amazon's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Amazon historical prices to predict the future Amazon's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.4068.1669.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.3474.5376.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
70.8972.6574.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
54.5161.7168.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amazon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amazon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amazon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amazon Inc.

Amazon Inc Backtested Returns

Amazon appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Amazon Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.25, which signifies that the company had a 0.25% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Amazon Inc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Amazon's mean deviation of 1.44, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2287 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Amazon holds a performance score of 19. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.13, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Amazon's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Amazon is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Amazon's information ratio, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the downside deviation and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Amazon's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.44  

Modest reverse predictability

Amazon Inc has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Amazon time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Amazon Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current Amazon price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.44
Spearman Rank Test-0.39
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance8.3

Amazon Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Amazon stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Amazon's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Amazon returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Amazon has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Amazon regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Amazon stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Amazon stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Amazon stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Amazon Lagged Returns

When evaluating Amazon's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Amazon stock have on its future price. Amazon autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Amazon autocorrelation shows the relationship between Amazon stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Amazon Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Amazon Stock

When determining whether Amazon Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Amazon's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Amazon Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Amazon Inc Stock:
Check out Amazon Correlation, Amazon Volatility and Amazon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Amazon.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Amazon technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Amazon technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Amazon trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...