Alimentation Couchen Tard Stock Market Value

ANCTF Stock  USD 56.77  0.61  1.06%   
Alimentation Couchen's market value is the price at which a share of Alimentation Couchen trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alimentation Couchen Tard investors about its performance. Alimentation Couchen is trading at 56.77 as of the 13th of December 2024. This is a 1.06% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 56.69.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alimentation Couchen Tard and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alimentation Couchen over a given investment horizon. Check out Alimentation Couchen Correlation, Alimentation Couchen Volatility and Alimentation Couchen Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alimentation Couchen.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alimentation Couchen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alimentation Couchen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alimentation Couchen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alimentation Couchen 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alimentation Couchen's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alimentation Couchen.
0.00
12/24/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/13/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alimentation Couchen on December 24, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alimentation Couchen Tard or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alimentation Couchen over 720 days. Alimentation Couchen is related to or competes with Burlington Stores, Childrens Place, Buckle, Shoe Carnival, Urban Outfitters, American Eagle, and Abercrombie Fitch. Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. operates and licenses convenience stores More

Alimentation Couchen Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alimentation Couchen's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alimentation Couchen Tard upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alimentation Couchen Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alimentation Couchen's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alimentation Couchen's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alimentation Couchen historical prices to predict the future Alimentation Couchen's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alimentation Couchen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.3556.7758.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.6056.0257.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
54.6256.0357.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
50.9255.3059.68
Details

Alimentation Couchen Tard Backtested Returns

At this point, Alimentation Couchen is very steady. Alimentation Couchen Tard secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0278, which signifies that the company had a 0.0278% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Alimentation Couchen Tard, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Alimentation Couchen's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0166, mean deviation of 1.0, and Downside Deviation of 1.17 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0394%. Alimentation Couchen has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.45, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Alimentation Couchen's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alimentation Couchen is expected to be smaller as well. Alimentation Couchen Tard right now shows a risk of 1.42%. Please confirm Alimentation Couchen Tard semi variance, day typical price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to decide if Alimentation Couchen Tard will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.52  

Good reverse predictability

Alimentation Couchen Tard has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alimentation Couchen time series from 24th of December 2022 to 19th of December 2023 and 19th of December 2023 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alimentation Couchen Tard price movement. The serial correlation of -0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Alimentation Couchen price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.52
Spearman Rank Test-0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance6.1

Alimentation Couchen Tard lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alimentation Couchen pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alimentation Couchen's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alimentation Couchen returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alimentation Couchen has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alimentation Couchen regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alimentation Couchen pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alimentation Couchen pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alimentation Couchen pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alimentation Couchen Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alimentation Couchen's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alimentation Couchen pink sheet have on its future price. Alimentation Couchen autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alimentation Couchen autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alimentation Couchen pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alimentation Couchen Tard.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Alimentation Pink Sheet

Alimentation Couchen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alimentation Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alimentation with respect to the benefits of owning Alimentation Couchen security.