Aristotlesaul Global Eq Fund Market Value

ARAOX Fund   10.94  0.19  1.71%   
Aristotlesaul Global's market value is the price at which a share of Aristotlesaul Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aristotlesaul Global Eq investors about its performance. Aristotlesaul Global is trading at 10.94 as of the 28th of December 2024; that is 1.71% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.13.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aristotlesaul Global Eq and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aristotlesaul Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Aristotlesaul Global Correlation, Aristotlesaul Global Volatility and Aristotlesaul Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aristotlesaul Global.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aristotlesaul Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aristotlesaul Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aristotlesaul Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aristotlesaul Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aristotlesaul Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aristotlesaul Global.
0.00
09/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aristotlesaul Global on September 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aristotlesaul Global Eq or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aristotlesaul Global over 90 days. Aristotlesaul Global is related to or competes with Gmo Resources, Franklin Natural, Icon Natural, Energy Basic, and Short Oil. More

Aristotlesaul Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aristotlesaul Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aristotlesaul Global Eq upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aristotlesaul Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aristotlesaul Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aristotlesaul Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aristotlesaul Global historical prices to predict the future Aristotlesaul Global's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.6010.9414.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.2511.5914.93
Details

Aristotlesaul Global Backtested Returns

Aristotlesaul Global secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.16, which signifies that the fund had a -0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Aristotlesaul Global Eq exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Aristotlesaul Global's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12), mean deviation of 1.03, and Standard Deviation of 3.34 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.39, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Aristotlesaul Global's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aristotlesaul Global is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.75  

Good predictability

Aristotlesaul Global Eq has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aristotlesaul Global time series from 29th of September 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aristotlesaul Global price movement. The serial correlation of 0.75 indicates that around 75.0% of current Aristotlesaul Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.75
Spearman Rank Test0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.64

Aristotlesaul Global lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aristotlesaul Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aristotlesaul Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aristotlesaul Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aristotlesaul Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aristotlesaul Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aristotlesaul Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aristotlesaul Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aristotlesaul Global mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aristotlesaul Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aristotlesaul Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aristotlesaul Global mutual fund have on its future price. Aristotlesaul Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aristotlesaul Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aristotlesaul Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aristotlesaul Global Eq.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aristotlesaul Mutual Fund

Aristotlesaul Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aristotlesaul Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aristotlesaul with respect to the benefits of owning Aristotlesaul Global security.
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