Argo Living Soils Stock Market Value

ARLSF Stock  USD 0.16  0.02  14.29%   
Argo Living's market value is the price at which a share of Argo Living trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Argo Living Soils investors about its performance. Argo Living is trading at 0.16 as of the 13th of December 2024. This is a 14.29% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.12.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Argo Living Soils and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Argo Living over a given investment horizon. Check out Argo Living Correlation, Argo Living Volatility and Argo Living Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Argo Living.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Argo Living's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Argo Living is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Argo Living's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Argo Living 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Argo Living's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Argo Living.
0.00
09/14/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/13/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Argo Living on September 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Argo Living Soils or generate 0.0% return on investment in Argo Living over 90 days. Argo Living is related to or competes with Nutrien, Origin Agritech, American Vanguard, Scotts Miracle, FMC, Intrepid Potash, and CF Industries. It develops and produces organic products, including soil amendments, living soils, bio-fertilizers, natural pesticides ... More

Argo Living Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Argo Living's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Argo Living Soils upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Argo Living Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Argo Living's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Argo Living's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Argo Living historical prices to predict the future Argo Living's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Argo Living's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1623.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1523.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.1323.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.130.160.19
Details

Argo Living Soils Backtested Returns

Argo Living is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Argo Living Soils secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0999, which signifies that the company had a 0.0999% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We are able to interpolate and collect thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 2.36% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Argo Living mean deviation of 14.55, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.067 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Argo Living holds a performance score of 7 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 9.87, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Argo Living will likely underperform. Use Argo Living downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to analyze future returns on Argo Living.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.04  

Very weak reverse predictability

Argo Living Soils has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Argo Living time series from 14th of September 2024 to 29th of October 2024 and 29th of October 2024 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Argo Living Soils price movement. The serial correlation of -0.04 indicates that only as little as 4.0% of current Argo Living price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.04
Spearman Rank Test-0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Argo Living Soils lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Argo Living pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Argo Living's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Argo Living returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Argo Living has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Argo Living regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Argo Living pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Argo Living pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Argo Living pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Argo Living Lagged Returns

When evaluating Argo Living's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Argo Living pink sheet have on its future price. Argo Living autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Argo Living autocorrelation shows the relationship between Argo Living pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Argo Living Soils.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Argo Pink Sheet

Argo Living financial ratios help investors to determine whether Argo Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Argo with respect to the benefits of owning Argo Living security.