Invesco Limited Term Fund Market Value

ATFYX Fund  USD 10.92  0.01  0.09%   
Invesco Limited's market value is the price at which a share of Invesco Limited trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invesco Limited Term investors about its performance. Invesco Limited is trading at 10.92 as of the 20th of December 2024; that is 0.09% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.91.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invesco Limited Term and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invesco Limited over a given investment horizon. Check out Invesco Limited Correlation, Invesco Limited Volatility and Invesco Limited Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invesco Limited.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Limited's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Limited is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Limited's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invesco Limited 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco Limited's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco Limited.
0.00
11/20/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/20/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invesco Limited on November 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco Limited Term or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco Limited over 30 days. Invesco Limited is related to or competes with Opnhmr Rchstr, Oppenheimer Rochester, Oppenheimer Rochester, Oppenheimer Discovery, and Oppenheimer Global. The fund invests, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets in municipal debt securities that pa... More

Invesco Limited Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco Limited's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco Limited Term upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invesco Limited Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco Limited's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco Limited's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco Limited historical prices to predict the future Invesco Limited's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Limited's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7710.9211.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6810.8310.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.7310.8811.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.9211.0011.08
Details

Invesco Limited Term Backtested Returns

Invesco Limited Term holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.068, which attests that the entity had a -0.068% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Invesco Limited Term exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Invesco Limited's Standard Deviation of 0.1429, market risk adjusted performance of 1.05, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0215, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Invesco Limited are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Invesco Limited is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.91  

Near perfect reversele predictability

Invesco Limited Term has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco Limited time series from 20th of November 2024 to 5th of December 2024 and 5th of December 2024 to 20th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco Limited Term price movement. The serial correlation of -0.91 indicates that approximately 91.0% of current Invesco Limited price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.91
Spearman Rank Test-0.95
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Invesco Limited Term lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invesco Limited mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco Limited's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco Limited returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco Limited has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invesco Limited regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco Limited mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco Limited mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco Limited mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invesco Limited Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invesco Limited's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco Limited mutual fund have on its future price. Invesco Limited autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco Limited autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco Limited mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco Limited Term.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco Limited financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Limited security.
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