ASX (Germany) Market Value

AUX Stock  EUR 38.60  0.60  1.58%   
ASX's market value is the price at which a share of ASX trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ASX Limited investors about its performance. ASX is trading at 38.60 as of the 26th of December 2024. This is a 1.58 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 38.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ASX Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ASX over a given investment horizon. Check out ASX Correlation, ASX Volatility and ASX Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ASX.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ASX's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ASX is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ASX's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ASX 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ASX's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ASX.
0.00
11/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ASX on November 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ASX Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in ASX over 30 days. ASX is related to or competes with Singapore Airlines, United Airlines, SOFI TECHNOLOGIES, ITALIAN WINE, and SINGAPORE AIRLINES. ASX Limited, a multi-asset class and integrated exchange group, provides listings, trading, clearing, settlement, regist... More

ASX Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ASX's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ASX Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ASX Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ASX's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ASX's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ASX historical prices to predict the future ASX's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.2638.6039.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.0139.3540.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.2237.5638.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.0640.0349.00
Details

ASX Limited Backtested Returns

At this point, ASX is very steady. ASX Limited secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 5.0E-4, which signifies that the company had a 5.0E-4% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for ASX Limited, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm ASX's mean deviation of 0.9918, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0284 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 7.0E-4%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.36, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, ASX's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ASX is expected to be smaller as well. ASX Limited currently shows a risk of 1.34%. Please confirm ASX Limited downside variance, kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and expected short fall , to decide if ASX Limited will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.79  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

ASX Limited has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ASX time series from 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024 and 11th of December 2024 to 26th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ASX Limited price movement. The serial correlation of -0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current ASX price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.79
Spearman Rank Test-0.92
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.79

ASX Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ASX stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ASX's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ASX returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ASX has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ASX regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ASX stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ASX stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ASX stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ASX Lagged Returns

When evaluating ASX's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ASX stock have on its future price. ASX autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ASX autocorrelation shows the relationship between ASX stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ASX Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in ASX Stock

ASX financial ratios help investors to determine whether ASX Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ASX with respect to the benefits of owning ASX security.