Berjaya Philippines (Philippines) Market Value
| BCOR Stock | 9.28 0.22 2.32% |
| Symbol | Berjaya |
Berjaya Philippines 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Berjaya Philippines' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Berjaya Philippines.
| 11/23/2024 |
| 12/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Berjaya Philippines on November 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Berjaya Philippines or generate 0.0% return on investment in Berjaya Philippines over 30 days. Berjaya Philippines is related to or competes with Jollibee Foods, Bloomberry Resorts, Figaro Coffee, and Pacificonline Systems. More
Berjaya Philippines Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Berjaya Philippines' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Berjaya Philippines upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 9.18 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0727 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 42.08 | |||
| Value At Risk | (14.49) | |||
| Potential Upside | 12.5 |
Berjaya Philippines Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Berjaya Philippines' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Berjaya Philippines' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Berjaya Philippines historical prices to predict the future Berjaya Philippines' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0699 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.643 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3692 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0615 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.23) |
Berjaya Philippines Backtested Returns
Berjaya Philippines appears to be relatively risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Berjaya Philippines secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0943, which signifies that the company had a 0.0943% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Berjaya Philippines' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.6% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Berjaya Philippines' Mean Deviation of 5.07, risk adjusted performance of 0.0699, and Downside Deviation of 9.18 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Berjaya Philippines holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -2.55, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Berjaya Philippines are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Berjaya Philippines is expected to outperform it. Please check Berjaya Philippines' sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Berjaya Philippines' price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.47 |
Modest reverse predictability
Berjaya Philippines has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Berjaya Philippines time series from 23rd of November 2024 to 8th of December 2024 and 8th of December 2024 to 23rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Berjaya Philippines price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Berjaya Philippines price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.47 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.52 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.06 |
Berjaya Philippines lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Berjaya Philippines stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Berjaya Philippines' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Berjaya Philippines returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Berjaya Philippines has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Berjaya Philippines regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Berjaya Philippines stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Berjaya Philippines stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Berjaya Philippines stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Berjaya Philippines Lagged Returns
When evaluating Berjaya Philippines' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Berjaya Philippines stock have on its future price. Berjaya Philippines autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Berjaya Philippines autocorrelation shows the relationship between Berjaya Philippines stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Berjaya Philippines.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Berjaya Stock Analysis
When running Berjaya Philippines' price analysis, check to measure Berjaya Philippines' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Berjaya Philippines is operating at the current time. Most of Berjaya Philippines' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Berjaya Philippines' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Berjaya Philippines' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Berjaya Philippines to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.