Baron Emerging Markets Fund Market Value

BEXUX Fund  USD 15.26  0.04  0.26%   
Baron Emerging's market value is the price at which a share of Baron Emerging trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Baron Emerging Markets investors about its performance. Baron Emerging is trading at 15.26 as of the 26th of December 2024; that is 0.26 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 15.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Baron Emerging Markets and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Baron Emerging over a given investment horizon. Check out Baron Emerging Correlation, Baron Emerging Volatility and Baron Emerging Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Baron Emerging.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Baron Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Baron Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baron Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Baron Emerging 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Baron Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Baron Emerging.
0.00
11/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Baron Emerging on November 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Baron Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Baron Emerging over 30 days. Baron Emerging is related to or competes with Baron Real, Baron Real, Baron Real, Baron Small, Baron Asset, Baron Durable, and Baron Discovery. The fund normally invests 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities in the form of common stock of growth compan... More

Baron Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Baron Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Baron Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Baron Emerging Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Baron Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Baron Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Baron Emerging historical prices to predict the future Baron Emerging's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baron Emerging's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.4815.3016.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.6215.4416.26
Details

Baron Emerging Markets Backtested Returns

Baron Emerging Markets secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the fund had a -0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Baron Emerging Markets exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Baron Emerging's Standard Deviation of 0.939, risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Mean Deviation of 0.6985 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.21, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Baron Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Baron Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.45  

Modest reverse predictability

Baron Emerging Markets has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Baron Emerging time series from 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024 and 11th of December 2024 to 26th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Baron Emerging Markets price movement. The serial correlation of -0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current Baron Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.45
Spearman Rank Test-0.72
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Baron Emerging Markets lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Baron Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Baron Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Baron Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Baron Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Baron Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Baron Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Baron Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Baron Emerging mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Baron Emerging Lagged Returns

When evaluating Baron Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Baron Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Baron Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Baron Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Baron Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Baron Emerging Markets.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Baron Mutual Fund

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