Baillie Gifford Emerging Fund Market Value

BGEPX Fund  USD 20.90  0.12  0.58%   
Baillie Gifford's market value is the price at which a share of Baillie Gifford trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Baillie Gifford Emerging investors about its performance. Baillie Gifford is trading at 20.90 as of the 4th of December 2024; that is 0.58% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 20.78.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Baillie Gifford Emerging and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Baillie Gifford over a given investment horizon. Check out Baillie Gifford Correlation, Baillie Gifford Volatility and Baillie Gifford Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Baillie Gifford.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Baillie Gifford's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Baillie Gifford is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baillie Gifford's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Baillie Gifford 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Baillie Gifford's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Baillie Gifford.
0.00
10/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Baillie Gifford on October 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Baillie Gifford Emerging or generate 0.0% return on investment in Baillie Gifford over 60 days. Baillie Gifford is related to or competes with Eafe Pure, Long Term, Baillie Gifford, Baillie Gifford, Baillie Gifford, Baillie Gifford, and Global Alpha. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of companies loc... More

Baillie Gifford Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Baillie Gifford's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Baillie Gifford Emerging upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Baillie Gifford Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Baillie Gifford's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Baillie Gifford's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Baillie Gifford historical prices to predict the future Baillie Gifford's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.8320.9021.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.9821.0522.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.6720.7321.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.7420.8320.92
Details

Baillie Gifford Emerging Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Baillie Mutual Fund to be very steady. Baillie Gifford Emerging secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0272, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0272% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for Baillie Gifford Emerging, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Baillie Gifford's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), standard deviation of 1.11, and Mean Deviation of 0.7945 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0289%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.3, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Baillie Gifford's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Baillie Gifford is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.74  

Good predictability

Baillie Gifford Emerging has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Baillie Gifford time series from 5th of October 2024 to 4th of November 2024 and 4th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Baillie Gifford Emerging price movement. The serial correlation of 0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current Baillie Gifford price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.74
Spearman Rank Test0.58
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.15

Baillie Gifford Emerging lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Baillie Gifford mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Baillie Gifford's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Baillie Gifford returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Baillie Gifford has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Baillie Gifford regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Baillie Gifford mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Baillie Gifford mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Baillie Gifford mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Baillie Gifford Lagged Returns

When evaluating Baillie Gifford's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Baillie Gifford mutual fund have on its future price. Baillie Gifford autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Baillie Gifford autocorrelation shows the relationship between Baillie Gifford mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Baillie Gifford Emerging.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Baillie Mutual Fund

Baillie Gifford financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baillie Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baillie with respect to the benefits of owning Baillie Gifford security.
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