The Eafe Fund Market Value

BGESX Fund  USD 14.06  0.10  0.72%   
Eafe Fund's market value is the price at which a share of Eafe Fund trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of The Eafe Fund investors about its performance. Eafe Fund is trading at 14.06 as of the 4th of December 2024; that is 0.72 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.96.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of The Eafe Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Eafe Fund over a given investment horizon. Check out Eafe Fund Correlation, Eafe Fund Volatility and Eafe Fund Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Eafe Fund.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Eafe Fund's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eafe Fund is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eafe Fund's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Eafe Fund 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Eafe Fund's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Eafe Fund.
0.00
12/15/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Eafe Fund on December 15, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Eafe Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Eafe Fund over 720 days. Eafe Fund is related to or competes with Goldman Sachs, Limited Term, Barings Active, Federated Short-term, Jhancock Short, and Vanguard Institutional. The fund invests in a diversified, international portfolio of common stocks and other equity securities of issuers locat... More

Eafe Fund Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Eafe Fund's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The Eafe Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Eafe Fund Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Eafe Fund's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Eafe Fund's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Eafe Fund historical prices to predict the future Eafe Fund's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eafe Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.9814.0615.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.7612.8415.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.9314.0115.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.7613.9114.05
Details

Eafe Fund Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Eafe Mutual Fund to be very steady. Eafe Fund secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which denotes the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for The Eafe Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Eafe Fund's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0505, semi deviation of 1.07, and Downside Deviation of 1.24 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0994, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Eafe Fund are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Eafe Fund is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.41  

Modest reverse predictability

The Eafe Fund has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Eafe Fund time series from 15th of December 2022 to 10th of December 2023 and 10th of December 2023 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Eafe Fund price movement. The serial correlation of -0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current Eafe Fund price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.41
Spearman Rank Test-0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.38

Eafe Fund lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Eafe Fund mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Eafe Fund's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Eafe Fund returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Eafe Fund has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Eafe Fund regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Eafe Fund mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Eafe Fund mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Eafe Fund mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Eafe Fund Lagged Returns

When evaluating Eafe Fund's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Eafe Fund mutual fund have on its future price. Eafe Fund autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Eafe Fund autocorrelation shows the relationship between Eafe Fund mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in The Eafe Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Eafe Mutual Fund

Eafe Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eafe Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eafe with respect to the benefits of owning Eafe Fund security.
Fundamentals Comparison
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Bollinger Bands
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Money Flow Index
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