Banco Do (Brazil) Market Value

BGIP4 Preferred Stock  BRL 24.00  0.50  2.13%   
Banco Do's market value is the price at which a share of Banco Do trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Banco do Estado investors about its performance. Banco Do is selling for under 24.00 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 2.13% up since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's lowest day price was 24.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Banco do Estado and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Banco Do over a given investment horizon. Check out Banco Do Correlation, Banco Do Volatility and Banco Do Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Banco Do.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco Do's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banco Do is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banco Do's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Banco Do 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Banco Do's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Banco Do.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Banco Do on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Banco do Estado or generate 0.0% return on investment in Banco Do over 720 days. Banco Do is related to or competes with Banco Da, Banestes, Banco Mercantil, Banco Do, and Banco Alfa. Banco do Estado de Sergipe S.A. provides various banking products and services in Sergipe More

Banco Do Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Banco Do's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Banco do Estado upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Banco Do Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Banco Do's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Banco Do's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Banco Do historical prices to predict the future Banco Do's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.4923.5025.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.2720.2825.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.3023.3125.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.0423.8324.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Banco Do. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Banco Do's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Banco Do's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Banco do Estado.

Banco do Estado Backtested Returns

Banco do Estado secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0166, which signifies that the company had a -0.0166% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Banco do Estado exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Banco Do's Downside Deviation of 1.72, mean deviation of 1.43, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0141 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.34, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Banco Do are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Banco Do is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Banco do Estado has a negative expected return of -0.0335%. Please make sure to confirm Banco Do's information ratio, total risk alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to decide if Banco do Estado performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.12  

Insignificant predictability

Banco do Estado has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Banco Do time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Banco do Estado price movement. The serial correlation of 0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current Banco Do price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.12
Spearman Rank Test0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.61

Banco do Estado lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Banco Do preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Banco Do's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Banco Do returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Banco Do has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Banco Do regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Banco Do preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Banco Do preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Banco Do preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Banco Do Lagged Returns

When evaluating Banco Do's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Banco Do preferred stock have on its future price. Banco Do autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Banco Do autocorrelation shows the relationship between Banco Do preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Banco do Estado.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Banco Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Banco Do's price analysis, check to measure Banco Do's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banco Do is operating at the current time. Most of Banco Do's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banco Do's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banco Do's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banco Do to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.