BLUESCOPE STEEL (Germany) Market Value
| BH5 Stock | 13.50 0.10 0.75% |
| Symbol | BLUESCOPE |
BLUESCOPE STEEL 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to BLUESCOPE STEEL's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of BLUESCOPE STEEL.
| 10/31/2024 |
| 11/30/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in BLUESCOPE STEEL on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BLUESCOPE STEEL or generate 0.0% return on investment in BLUESCOPE STEEL over 30 days. BLUESCOPE STEEL is related to or competes with Mizuho Financial, Hanover Insurance, Consolidated Communications, Charter Communications, Ameriprise Financial, Treasury Wine, and JSC Halyk. More
BLUESCOPE STEEL Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure BLUESCOPE STEEL's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BLUESCOPE STEEL upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0186 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.33 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.62) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.25 |
BLUESCOPE STEEL Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for BLUESCOPE STEEL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as BLUESCOPE STEEL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use BLUESCOPE STEEL historical prices to predict the future BLUESCOPE STEEL's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0674 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.21) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.019 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1219 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BLUESCOPE STEEL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BLUESCOPE STEEL Backtested Returns
BLUESCOPE STEEL appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. BLUESCOPE STEEL secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0858, which signifies that the company had a 0.0858% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for BLUESCOPE STEEL, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of BLUESCOPE STEEL's risk adjusted performance of 0.0674, and Mean Deviation of 1.74 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, BLUESCOPE STEEL holds a performance score of 6. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.39, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, BLUESCOPE STEEL will likely underperform. Please check BLUESCOPE STEEL's sortino ratio, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether BLUESCOPE STEEL's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.34 |
Below average predictability
BLUESCOPE STEEL has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between BLUESCOPE STEEL time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BLUESCOPE STEEL price movement. The serial correlation of 0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current BLUESCOPE STEEL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.34 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.45 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.15 |
BLUESCOPE STEEL lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is BLUESCOPE STEEL stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting BLUESCOPE STEEL's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of BLUESCOPE STEEL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that BLUESCOPE STEEL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
BLUESCOPE STEEL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If BLUESCOPE STEEL stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if BLUESCOPE STEEL stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in BLUESCOPE STEEL stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
BLUESCOPE STEEL Lagged Returns
When evaluating BLUESCOPE STEEL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of BLUESCOPE STEEL stock have on its future price. BLUESCOPE STEEL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, BLUESCOPE STEEL autocorrelation shows the relationship between BLUESCOPE STEEL stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BLUESCOPE STEEL.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
Explore Investment Opportunities
Additional Tools for BLUESCOPE Stock Analysis
When running BLUESCOPE STEEL's price analysis, check to measure BLUESCOPE STEEL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BLUESCOPE STEEL is operating at the current time. Most of BLUESCOPE STEEL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BLUESCOPE STEEL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BLUESCOPE STEEL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BLUESCOPE STEEL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.