Bayerische Motoren (Mexico) Market Value

BMWM5N Stock  MXN 1,614  0.00  0.00%   
Bayerische Motoren's market value is the price at which a share of Bayerische Motoren trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bayerische Motoren Werke investors about its performance. Bayerische Motoren is trading at 1614.22 as of the 13th of December 2024, a No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 1614.22.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bayerische Motoren Werke and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bayerische Motoren over a given investment horizon. Check out Bayerische Motoren Correlation, Bayerische Motoren Volatility and Bayerische Motoren Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bayerische Motoren.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Bayerische Motoren's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bayerische Motoren is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bayerische Motoren's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bayerische Motoren 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bayerische Motoren's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bayerische Motoren.
0.00
12/24/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/13/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bayerische Motoren on December 24, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bayerische Motoren Werke or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bayerische Motoren over 720 days. Bayerische Motoren is related to or competes with Verizon Communications, United Airlines, First Republic, McEwen Mining, and Southwest Airlines. Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells automobil... More

Bayerische Motoren Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bayerische Motoren's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bayerische Motoren Werke upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bayerische Motoren Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bayerische Motoren's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bayerische Motoren's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bayerische Motoren historical prices to predict the future Bayerische Motoren's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,6131,6141,616
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,5831,5851,776
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bayerische Motoren. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bayerische Motoren's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bayerische Motoren's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bayerische Motoren Werke.

Bayerische Motoren Werke Backtested Returns

At this point, Bayerische Motoren is very steady. Bayerische Motoren Werke secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0823, which signifies that the company had a 0.0823% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found seventeen technical indicators for Bayerische Motoren Werke, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Bayerische Motoren's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), standard deviation of 2.13, and Mean Deviation of 0.5818 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. Bayerische Motoren has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0894, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Bayerische Motoren's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Bayerische Motoren is expected to be smaller as well. Bayerische Motoren Werke right now shows a risk of 1.67%. Please confirm Bayerische Motoren Werke jensen alpha, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the variance and skewness , to decide if Bayerische Motoren Werke will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.07  

Virtually no predictability

Bayerische Motoren Werke has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bayerische Motoren time series from 24th of December 2022 to 19th of December 2023 and 19th of December 2023 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bayerische Motoren Werke price movement. The serial correlation of 0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current Bayerische Motoren price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.07
Spearman Rank Test-0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance8823.75

Bayerische Motoren Werke lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bayerische Motoren stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bayerische Motoren's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bayerische Motoren returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bayerische Motoren has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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Bayerische Motoren regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bayerische Motoren stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bayerische Motoren stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bayerische Motoren stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bayerische Motoren Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bayerische Motoren's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bayerische Motoren stock have on its future price. Bayerische Motoren autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bayerische Motoren autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bayerische Motoren stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bayerische Motoren Werke.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Bayerische Stock

Bayerische Motoren financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bayerische Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bayerische with respect to the benefits of owning Bayerische Motoren security.