Bodal Chemicals (India) Market Value

BODALCHEM   69.19  0.80  1.17%   
Bodal Chemicals' market value is the price at which a share of Bodal Chemicals trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bodal Chemicals Limited investors about its performance. Bodal Chemicals is trading at 69.19 as of the 24th of December 2024. This is a 1.17 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 68.39.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bodal Chemicals Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bodal Chemicals over a given investment horizon. Check out Bodal Chemicals Correlation, Bodal Chemicals Volatility and Bodal Chemicals Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bodal Chemicals.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Bodal Chemicals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bodal Chemicals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bodal Chemicals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bodal Chemicals 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bodal Chemicals' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bodal Chemicals.
0.00
11/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bodal Chemicals on November 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bodal Chemicals Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bodal Chemicals over 30 days. Bodal Chemicals is related to or competes with Hindustan Media, Fine Organic, LT Foods, Ami Organics, Jubilant Foodworks, Network18 Media, and Vidhi Specialty. Bodal Chemicals is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Bodal Chemicals Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bodal Chemicals' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bodal Chemicals Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bodal Chemicals Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bodal Chemicals' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bodal Chemicals' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bodal Chemicals historical prices to predict the future Bodal Chemicals' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.2069.1971.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.9051.8976.11
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.070.250.42
Details

Bodal Chemicals Backtested Returns

Bodal Chemicals secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the company had a -0.12% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Bodal Chemicals Limited exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Bodal Chemicals' mean deviation of 1.52, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.98, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Bodal Chemicals returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Bodal Chemicals is expected to follow. At this point, Bodal Chemicals has a negative expected return of -0.25%. Please make sure to confirm Bodal Chemicals' potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and accumulation distribution , to decide if Bodal Chemicals performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.96  

Near perfect reversele predictability

Bodal Chemicals Limited has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bodal Chemicals time series from 24th of November 2024 to 9th of December 2024 and 9th of December 2024 to 24th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bodal Chemicals price movement. The serial correlation of -0.96 indicates that 96.0% of current Bodal Chemicals price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.96
Spearman Rank Test-0.92
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance6.36

Bodal Chemicals lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bodal Chemicals stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bodal Chemicals' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bodal Chemicals returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bodal Chemicals has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Bodal Chemicals regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bodal Chemicals stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bodal Chemicals stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bodal Chemicals stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bodal Chemicals Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bodal Chemicals' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bodal Chemicals stock have on its future price. Bodal Chemicals autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bodal Chemicals autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bodal Chemicals stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bodal Chemicals Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Bodal Stock

Bodal Chemicals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bodal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bodal with respect to the benefits of owning Bodal Chemicals security.