Braskem SA (Brazil) Market Value

BRKM6 Preferred Stock  BRL 9.25  0.24  2.66%   
Braskem SA's market value is the price at which a share of Braskem SA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Braskem SA investors about its performance. Braskem SA is selling for under 9.25 as of the 4th of December 2024; that is 2.66% up since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's lowest day price was 9.22.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Braskem SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Braskem SA over a given investment horizon. Check out Braskem SA Correlation, Braskem SA Volatility and Braskem SA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Braskem SA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Braskem SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Braskem SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Braskem SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Braskem SA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Braskem SA's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Braskem SA.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Braskem SA on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Braskem SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Braskem SA over 30 days. Braskem SA is related to or competes with Braskem SA, Braskem SA, Bradespar, Unipar Carbocloro, and Banco Do. Braskem S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells thermoplastic resins More

Braskem SA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Braskem SA's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Braskem SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Braskem SA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Braskem SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Braskem SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Braskem SA historical prices to predict the future Braskem SA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.969.2512.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.438.7212.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.568.8512.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.5310.3711.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Braskem SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Braskem SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Braskem SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Braskem SA.

Braskem SA Backtested Returns

Braskem SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.18, which signifies that the company had a -0.18% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Braskem SA exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Braskem SA's risk adjusted performance of (0.13), and Mean Deviation of 1.44 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.42, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Braskem SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Braskem SA is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Braskem SA has a negative expected return of -0.59%. Please make sure to confirm Braskem SA's market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Braskem SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.41  

Average predictability

Braskem SA has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Braskem SA time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Braskem SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current Braskem SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.41
Spearman Rank Test-0.47
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.83

Braskem SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Braskem SA preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Braskem SA's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Braskem SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Braskem SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Braskem SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Braskem SA preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Braskem SA preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Braskem SA preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Braskem SA Lagged Returns

When evaluating Braskem SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Braskem SA preferred stock have on its future price. Braskem SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Braskem SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Braskem SA preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Braskem SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Braskem Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Braskem SA's price analysis, check to measure Braskem SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Braskem SA is operating at the current time. Most of Braskem SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Braskem SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Braskem SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Braskem SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.