Caisse Rgionale (France) Market Value

CAF Stock  EUR 58.66  0.99  1.66%   
Caisse Rgionale's market value is the price at which a share of Caisse Rgionale trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Caisse Rgionale de investors about its performance. Caisse Rgionale is trading at 58.66 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 1.66 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 59.65.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Caisse Rgionale de and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Caisse Rgionale over a given investment horizon. Check out Caisse Rgionale Correlation, Caisse Rgionale Volatility and Caisse Rgionale Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Caisse Rgionale.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Caisse Rgionale's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Caisse Rgionale is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Caisse Rgionale's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Caisse Rgionale 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Caisse Rgionale's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Caisse Rgionale.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Caisse Rgionale on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Caisse Rgionale de or generate 0.0% return on investment in Caisse Rgionale over 720 days. Caisse Rgionale is related to or competes with Caisse Regionale, Caisse Regionale, Caisse Rgionale, Manitou BF, Ossiam Minimum, Ekinops SA, and Orapi SA. Caisse Rgionale de Crdit Agricole Mutuel de Paris et dIle-de-France operates as a cooperative bank that provides a range... More

Caisse Rgionale Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Caisse Rgionale's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Caisse Rgionale de upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Caisse Rgionale Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Caisse Rgionale's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Caisse Rgionale's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Caisse Rgionale historical prices to predict the future Caisse Rgionale's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
57.7958.6659.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.1149.9864.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
56.6257.4958.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
57.4859.9762.47
Details

Caisse Rgionale de Backtested Returns

Caisse Rgionale de secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0318, which signifies that the company had a -0.0318% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Caisse Rgionale de exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Caisse Rgionale's Standard Deviation of 0.8951, risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Mean Deviation of 0.644 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.26, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Caisse Rgionale are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Caisse Rgionale is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Caisse Rgionale de has a negative expected return of -0.0275%. Please make sure to confirm Caisse Rgionale's value at risk, accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and skewness , to decide if Caisse Rgionale de performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.14  

Insignificant predictability

Caisse Rgionale de has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Caisse Rgionale time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Caisse Rgionale de price movement. The serial correlation of 0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current Caisse Rgionale price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.14
Spearman Rank Test0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance8.43

Caisse Rgionale de lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Caisse Rgionale stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Caisse Rgionale's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Caisse Rgionale returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Caisse Rgionale has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Caisse Rgionale regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Caisse Rgionale stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Caisse Rgionale stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Caisse Rgionale stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Caisse Rgionale Lagged Returns

When evaluating Caisse Rgionale's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Caisse Rgionale stock have on its future price. Caisse Rgionale autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Caisse Rgionale autocorrelation shows the relationship between Caisse Rgionale stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Caisse Rgionale de.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Caisse Stock

Caisse Rgionale financial ratios help investors to determine whether Caisse Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Caisse with respect to the benefits of owning Caisse Rgionale security.