Continental (Germany) Market Value

CAL Stock  EUR 110.00  2.00  1.85%   
Continental's market value is the price at which a share of Continental trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Camden Property Trust investors about its performance. Continental is trading at 110.00 as of the 23rd of December 2024. This is a 1.85 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 107.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Camden Property Trust and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Continental over a given investment horizon. Check out Continental Correlation, Continental Volatility and Continental Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Continental.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Continental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Continental is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Continental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Continental 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Continental's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Continental.
0.00
11/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Continental on November 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Camden Property Trust or generate 0.0% return on investment in Continental over 30 days. Continental is related to or competes with DATAGROUP, Sabra Health, Cardinal Health, Automatic Data, DiamondRock Hospitality, PUBLIC STORAGE, and Data#3. Camden Property Trust, an SP 400 Company, is a real estate company primarily engaged in the ownership, management, devel... More

Continental Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Continental's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Camden Property Trust upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Continental Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Continental's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Continental's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Continental historical prices to predict the future Continental's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
108.84110.00111.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
109.33110.49111.65
Details

Camden Property Trust Backtested Returns

Camden Property Trust secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0052, which signifies that the company had a -0.0052% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Camden Property Trust exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Continental's Mean Deviation of 0.8896, risk adjusted performance of 0.0175, and Downside Deviation of 1.34 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.23, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Continental's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Continental is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Camden Property Trust has a negative expected return of -0.0061%. Please make sure to confirm Continental's jensen alpha, sortino ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Camden Property Trust performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.89  

Very good predictability

Camden Property Trust has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Continental time series from 23rd of November 2024 to 8th of December 2024 and 8th of December 2024 to 23rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Camden Property Trust price movement. The serial correlation of 0.89 indicates that approximately 89.0% of current Continental price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.89
Spearman Rank Test0.67
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.27

Camden Property Trust lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Continental stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Continental's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Continental returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Continental has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Continental regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Continental stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Continental stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Continental stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Continental Lagged Returns

When evaluating Continental's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Continental stock have on its future price. Continental autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Continental autocorrelation shows the relationship between Continental stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Camden Property Trust.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Continental Stock

When determining whether Camden Property Trust is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Continental Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Camden Property Trust Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Camden Property Trust Stock:
Check out Continental Correlation, Continental Volatility and Continental Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Continental.
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Continental technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Continental technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Continental trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...