Conestoga Small Cap Fund Market Value
| CCASX Fund | USD 82.59 0.16 0.19% |
| Symbol | Conestoga |
Conestoga Small 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Conestoga Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Conestoga Small.
| 12/23/2022 |
| 12/12/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Conestoga Small on December 23, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Conestoga Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Conestoga Small over 720 days. Conestoga Small is related to or competes with Conestoga Micro, Conestoga Micro, Conestoga Small, Conestoga Mid, Columbia Large, and Conestoga Smid. Under normal market circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of small-... More
Conestoga Small Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Conestoga Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Conestoga Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.9879 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0817 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.31) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.07 |
Conestoga Small Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Conestoga Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Conestoga Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Conestoga Small historical prices to predict the future Conestoga Small's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1395 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1716 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0245 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.097 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.6219 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Conestoga Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Conestoga Small Cap Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Conestoga Mutual Fund to be very steady. Conestoga Small Cap secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the fund had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Conestoga Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Conestoga Small's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1395, mean deviation of 0.838, and Downside Deviation of 0.9879 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.34, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Conestoga Small's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Conestoga Small is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.02 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Conestoga Small Cap has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Conestoga Small time series from 23rd of December 2022 to 18th of December 2023 and 18th of December 2023 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Conestoga Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of -0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Conestoga Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.02 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.23 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 14.69 |
Conestoga Small Cap lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Conestoga Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Conestoga Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Conestoga Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Conestoga Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Conestoga Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Conestoga Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Conestoga Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Conestoga Small mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Conestoga Small Lagged Returns
When evaluating Conestoga Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Conestoga Small mutual fund have on its future price. Conestoga Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Conestoga Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Conestoga Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Conestoga Small Cap.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Conestoga Mutual Fund
Conestoga Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Conestoga Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Conestoga with respect to the benefits of owning Conestoga Small security.
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