Enel Generacion (Argentina) Market Value

CECO2 Stock  ARS 472.00  10.50  2.28%   
Enel Generacion's market value is the price at which a share of Enel Generacion trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Enel Generacion Costanera investors about its performance. Enel Generacion is trading at 472.00 as of the 11th of December 2024, a 2.28% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 461.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Enel Generacion Costanera and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Enel Generacion over a given investment horizon. Check out Enel Generacion Correlation, Enel Generacion Volatility and Enel Generacion Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Enel Generacion.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Enel Generacion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Enel Generacion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Enel Generacion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Enel Generacion 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Enel Generacion's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Enel Generacion.
0.00
12/17/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Enel Generacion on December 17, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Enel Generacion Costanera or generate 0.0% return on investment in Enel Generacion over 360 days. Enel Generacion is related to or competes with Edesa Holding, United States, Pfizer, Ternium SA, Molinos Agro, and Consultatio. Enel Generacin Costanera S.A. operates in the electrical energy industry in Argentina More

Enel Generacion Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Enel Generacion's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Enel Generacion Costanera upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Enel Generacion Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Enel Generacion's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Enel Generacion's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Enel Generacion historical prices to predict the future Enel Generacion's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
458.95461.50464.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
419.20421.75507.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
459.77462.33464.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
409.54447.61485.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Enel Generacion. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Enel Generacion's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Enel Generacion's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Enel Generacion Costanera.

Enel Generacion Costanera Backtested Returns

Enel Generacion appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Enel Generacion Costanera secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.21, which denotes the company had a 0.21% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By reviewing Enel Generacion's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.53% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Enel Generacion's Coefficient Of Variation of 430.26, downside deviation of 1.72, and Mean Deviation of 1.99 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Enel Generacion holds a performance score of 16. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.51, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Enel Generacion are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Enel Generacion is likely to outperform the market. Please check Enel Generacion's downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Enel Generacion's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.10  

Insignificant predictability

Enel Generacion Costanera has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Enel Generacion time series from 17th of December 2023 to 14th of June 2024 and 14th of June 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Enel Generacion Costanera price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Enel Generacion price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.1
Spearman Rank Test-0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2555.7

Enel Generacion Costanera lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Enel Generacion stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Enel Generacion's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Enel Generacion returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Enel Generacion has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Enel Generacion regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Enel Generacion stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Enel Generacion stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Enel Generacion stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Enel Generacion Lagged Returns

When evaluating Enel Generacion's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Enel Generacion stock have on its future price. Enel Generacion autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Enel Generacion autocorrelation shows the relationship between Enel Generacion stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Enel Generacion Costanera.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Enel Stock

Enel Generacion financial ratios help investors to determine whether Enel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Enel with respect to the benefits of owning Enel Generacion security.