China Construction Bank Stock Market Value

CICHY Stock  USD 15.19  0.09  0.60%   
China Construction's market value is the price at which a share of China Construction trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of China Construction Bank investors about its performance. China Construction is trading at 15.19 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.60% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 15.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of China Construction Bank and determine expected loss or profit from investing in China Construction over a given investment horizon. Check out China Construction Correlation, China Construction Volatility and China Construction Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on China Construction.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between China Construction's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China Construction is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Construction's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

China Construction 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to China Construction's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of China Construction.
0.00
06/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in China Construction on June 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding China Construction Bank or generate 0.0% return on investment in China Construction over 180 days. China Construction is related to or competes with Bank of China Ltd ADR, Industrial, China Construction, Bank of America, Industrial Commercial, Agricultural Bank, and Bank of America. China Construction Bank Corporation provides various banking and related financial services to individuals and corporate... More

China Construction Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure China Construction's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess China Construction Bank upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

China Construction Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for China Construction's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as China Construction's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use China Construction historical prices to predict the future China Construction's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8715.1917.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.3112.6316.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.5714.9017.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.8615.4215.98
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Construction. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Construction's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Construction's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Construction Bank.

China Construction Bank Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider China Pink Sheet to be not too volatile. China Construction Bank secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0828, which signifies that the company had a 0.0828% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for China Construction Bank, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm China Construction's Mean Deviation of 1.76, risk adjusted performance of 0.0301, and Downside Deviation of 2.23 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. China Construction has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0642, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, China Construction's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding China Construction is expected to be smaller as well. China Construction Bank right now shows a risk of 2.32%. Please confirm China Construction Bank potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to decide if China Construction Bank will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

China Construction Bank has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between China Construction time series from 5th of June 2024 to 3rd of September 2024 and 3rd of September 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of China Construction Bank price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current China Construction price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.54

China Construction Bank lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is China Construction pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting China Construction's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of China Construction returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that China Construction has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

China Construction regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If China Construction pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if China Construction pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in China Construction pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

China Construction Lagged Returns

When evaluating China Construction's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of China Construction pink sheet have on its future price. China Construction autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, China Construction autocorrelation shows the relationship between China Construction pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in China Construction Bank.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for China Pink Sheet Analysis

When running China Construction's price analysis, check to measure China Construction's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Construction is operating at the current time. Most of China Construction's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Construction's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Construction's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Construction to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.