Claranova (France) Market Value

CLA Stock  EUR 1.42  0.03  2.07%   
Claranova's market value is the price at which a share of Claranova trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Claranova SE investors about its performance. Claranova is trading at 1.42 as of the 29th of November 2024, a 2.07 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 1.45.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Claranova SE and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Claranova over a given investment horizon. Check out Claranova Correlation, Claranova Volatility and Claranova Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Claranova.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Claranova's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Claranova is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Claranova's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Claranova 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Claranova's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Claranova.
0.00
06/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Claranova on June 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Claranova SE or generate 0.0% return on investment in Claranova over 180 days. Claranova is related to or competes with Linedata Services, Interparfums, Esker SA, Neurones, and Trigano SA. Claranova S.E. engages in the digital printing, management of the Internet of Things, and e-commerce businesses More

Claranova Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Claranova's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Claranova SE upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Claranova Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Claranova's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Claranova's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Claranova historical prices to predict the future Claranova's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.424.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.204.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.394.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.281.391.50
Details

Claranova SE Backtested Returns

Claranova SE secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -2.0E-4, which signifies that the company had a -2.0E-4% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Claranova SE exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Claranova's risk adjusted performance of 0.0183, and Mean Deviation of 2.1 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0949, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Claranova's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Claranova is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Claranova SE has a negative expected return of -6.0E-4%. Please make sure to confirm Claranova's mean deviation, standard deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Claranova SE performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.35  

Below average predictability

Claranova SE has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Claranova time series from 2nd of June 2024 to 31st of August 2024 and 31st of August 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Claranova SE price movement. The serial correlation of 0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Claranova price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.35
Spearman Rank Test0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Claranova SE lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Claranova stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Claranova's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Claranova returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Claranova has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Claranova regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Claranova stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Claranova stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Claranova stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Claranova Lagged Returns

When evaluating Claranova's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Claranova stock have on its future price. Claranova autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Claranova autocorrelation shows the relationship between Claranova stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Claranova SE.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Claranova Stock

Claranova financial ratios help investors to determine whether Claranova Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Claranova with respect to the benefits of owning Claranova security.