City National Rochdale Fund Market Value

CNRNX Fund  USD 9.43  0.01  0.11%   
City National's market value is the price at which a share of City National trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of City National Rochdale investors about its performance. City National is trading at 9.43 as of the 12th of December 2024; that is 0.11% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.44.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of City National Rochdale and determine expected loss or profit from investing in City National over a given investment horizon. Check out City National Correlation, City National Volatility and City National Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on City National.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between City National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if City National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, City National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

City National 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to City National's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of City National.
0.00
11/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in City National on November 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding City National Rochdale or generate 0.0% return on investment in City National over 30 days. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in a diversified portfolio of tax... More

City National Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure City National's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess City National Rochdale upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

City National Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for City National's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as City National's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use City National historical prices to predict the future City National's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.199.439.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.809.0410.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.179.419.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.389.439.48
Details

City National Rochdale Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider City Mutual Fund to be very steady. City National Rochdale secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0356, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0356% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for City National Rochdale, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm City National's Mean Deviation of 0.1387, risk adjusted performance of 0.0099, and Downside Deviation of 0.395 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0086%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning City National are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, City National is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.09  

Very weak reverse predictability

City National Rochdale has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between City National time series from 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024 and 27th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of City National Rochdale price movement. The serial correlation of -0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current City National price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.09
Spearman Rank Test0.28
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

City National Rochdale lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is City National mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting City National's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of City National returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that City National has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

City National regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If City National mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if City National mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in City National mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

City National Lagged Returns

When evaluating City National's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of City National mutual fund have on its future price. City National autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, City National autocorrelation shows the relationship between City National mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in City National Rochdale.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in City Mutual Fund

City National financial ratios help investors to determine whether City Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in City with respect to the benefits of owning City National security.
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