Comet Holding (Switzerland) Market Value

COTN Stock  CHF 279.50  3.50  1.27%   
Comet Holding's market value is the price at which a share of Comet Holding trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Comet Holding AG investors about its performance. Comet Holding is selling for under 279.50 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 1.27 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 273.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Comet Holding AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Comet Holding over a given investment horizon. Check out Comet Holding Correlation, Comet Holding Volatility and Comet Holding Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Comet Holding.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Comet Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Comet Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Comet Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Comet Holding 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Comet Holding's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Comet Holding.
0.00
12/12/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Comet Holding on December 12, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Comet Holding AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in Comet Holding over 720 days. Comet Holding is related to or competes with VAT Group, Bachem Holding, Inficon Holding, Tecan Group, and Siegfried Holding. Comet Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides X-ray and radio frequency power technology solutions in Switz... More

Comet Holding Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Comet Holding's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Comet Holding AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Comet Holding Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Comet Holding's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Comet Holding's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Comet Holding historical prices to predict the future Comet Holding's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
277.42279.50281.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
260.65262.73307.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
274.11276.19278.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
269.91276.85283.79
Details

Comet Holding AG Backtested Returns

Comet Holding AG secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.15, which signifies that the company had a -0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Comet Holding AG exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Comet Holding's Mean Deviation of 1.63, risk adjusted performance of (0.11), and Standard Deviation of 2.08 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.32, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Comet Holding's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Comet Holding is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Comet Holding AG has a negative expected return of -0.31%. Please make sure to confirm Comet Holding's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if Comet Holding AG performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.40  

Average predictability

Comet Holding AG has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Comet Holding time series from 12th of December 2022 to 7th of December 2023 and 7th of December 2023 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Comet Holding AG price movement. The serial correlation of 0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Comet Holding price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.4
Spearman Rank Test-0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1072.24

Comet Holding AG lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Comet Holding stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Comet Holding's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Comet Holding returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Comet Holding has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Comet Holding regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Comet Holding stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Comet Holding stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Comet Holding stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Comet Holding Lagged Returns

When evaluating Comet Holding's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Comet Holding stock have on its future price. Comet Holding autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Comet Holding autocorrelation shows the relationship between Comet Holding stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Comet Holding AG.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Comet Stock Analysis

When running Comet Holding's price analysis, check to measure Comet Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Comet Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Comet Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Comet Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Comet Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Comet Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.