Danske Bank (Denmark) Market Value
| DANSKE Stock | DKK 201.20 4.05 2.05% |
| Symbol | Danske |
Danske Bank 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Danske Bank's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Danske Bank.
| 01/09/2023 |
| 11/29/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Danske Bank on January 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Danske Bank AS or generate 0.0% return on investment in Danske Bank over 690 days. Danske Bank is related to or competes with Sydbank AS, Jyske Bank, Alm Brand, and Nordea Bank. Danske Bank AS provides various banking products and services to small and medium-sized businesses, corporate, instituti... More
Danske Bank Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Danske Bank's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Danske Bank AS upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.16) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.82) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.05 |
Danske Bank Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Danske Bank's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Danske Bank's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Danske Bank historical prices to predict the future Danske Bank's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.24) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2361 |
Danske Bank AS Backtested Returns
Danske Bank AS secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0632, which denotes the company had a -0.0632% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Danske Bank AS exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Danske Bank's Standard Deviation of 1.13, mean deviation of 0.8759, and Variance of 1.28 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.28, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Danske Bank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Danske Bank is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Danske Bank AS has a negative expected return of -0.0723%. Please make sure to confirm Danske Bank's information ratio, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Danske Bank AS performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.61 |
Good predictability
Danske Bank AS has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Danske Bank time series from 9th of January 2023 to 20th of December 2023 and 20th of December 2023 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Danske Bank AS price movement. The serial correlation of 0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current Danske Bank price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.61 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.66 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 125.31 |
Danske Bank AS lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Danske Bank stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Danske Bank's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Danske Bank returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Danske Bank has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Danske Bank regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Danske Bank stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Danske Bank stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Danske Bank stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Danske Bank Lagged Returns
When evaluating Danske Bank's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Danske Bank stock have on its future price. Danske Bank autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Danske Bank autocorrelation shows the relationship between Danske Bank stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Danske Bank AS.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Danske Bank
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Danske Bank position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Danske Bank will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Danske Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Danske Bank could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Danske Bank when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Danske Bank - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Danske Bank AS to buy it.
The correlation of Danske Bank is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Danske Bank moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Danske Bank AS moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Danske Bank can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Danske Stock
Danske Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Danske Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Danske with respect to the benefits of owning Danske Bank security.