DBC Market Value
| DBC Crypto | USD 0 0.000007 0.19% |
| Symbol | DBC |
DBC 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to DBC's crypto coin what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of DBC.
| 10/29/2024 |
| 11/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in DBC on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding DBC or generate 0.0% return on investment in DBC over 30 days. DBC is related to or competes with Staked Ether, Sui, Toncoin, Worldcoin, Chainlink, Aptos, and Wrapped Bitcoin. DBC is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.
DBC Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure DBC's crypto coin current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess DBC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 9.58 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1273 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 44.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (12.59) | |||
| Potential Upside | 15.55 |
DBC Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for DBC's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as DBC's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use DBC historical prices to predict the future DBC's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1154 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.3 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.22) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1511 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7136 |
DBC Backtested Returns
DBC is abnormally risky given 3 months investment horizon. DBC retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which denotes digital coin had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to break down twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.37% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use DBC Downside Deviation of 9.58, market risk adjusted performance of 0.7236, and Coefficient Of Variation of 720.87 to evaluate coin specific risk that cannot be diversified away. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 2.2, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, DBC will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation | -0.05 |
Very weak reverse predictability
DBC has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between DBC time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of DBC price movement. The serial correlation of -0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current DBC price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.05 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.04 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
DBC lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is DBC crypto coin's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting DBC's crypto coin expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of DBC returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that DBC has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the crypto coin is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
DBC regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If DBC crypto coin is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if DBC crypto coin is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in DBC crypto coin over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
DBC Lagged Returns
When evaluating DBC's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of DBC crypto coin have on its future price. DBC autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, DBC autocorrelation shows the relationship between DBC crypto coin current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in DBC.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether DBC offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of DBC's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Dbc Crypto.Check out DBC Correlation, DBC Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on DBC. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
DBC technical crypto coin analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, crypto market cycles, or different charting patterns.