Walt Disney Stock Market Value

DIS Stock  USD 117.47  0.13  0.11%   
Disney's market value is the price at which a share of Disney trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Walt Disney investors about its performance. Disney is selling for under 117.47 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.11% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 116.73.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Walt Disney and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Disney over a given investment horizon. Check out Disney Correlation, Disney Volatility and Disney Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Disney.
Symbol

Walt Disney Company Valuation

Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Disney. If investors know Disney will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Disney listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.486
Earnings Share
2.72
Revenue Per Share
49.209
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.037
Return On Assets
0.0362
The market value of Walt Disney is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Disney that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Disney's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Disney's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Disney's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Disney's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Disney's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Disney is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Disney's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Disney 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Disney's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Disney.
0.00
09/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Disney on September 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Walt Disney or generate 0.0% return on investment in Disney over 90 days. Disney is related to or competes with ADTRAN, Belden, ADC Therapeutics, Comtech Telecommunicatio, and CTS. The Walt Disney Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an entertainment company worldwide More

Disney Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Disney's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Walt Disney upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Disney Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Disney's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Disney's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Disney historical prices to predict the future Disney's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
116.94118.37119.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
113.44114.87129.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
116.25117.68119.10
Details
32 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
90.5899.54110.49
Details

Walt Disney Backtested Returns

Disney appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Walt Disney secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.32, which denotes the company had a 0.32% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Walt Disney, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Disney's Downside Deviation of 1.03, risk adjusted performance of 0.2336, and Semi Deviation of 0.478 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Disney holds a performance score of 24. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.56, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Disney's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Disney is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Disney's downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Disney's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.52  

Modest predictability

Walt Disney has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Disney time series from 1st of September 2024 to 16th of October 2024 and 16th of October 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Walt Disney price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Disney price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.53
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance72.39

Walt Disney lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Disney stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Disney's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Disney returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Disney has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Disney regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Disney stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Disney stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Disney stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Disney Lagged Returns

When evaluating Disney's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Disney stock have on its future price. Disney autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Disney autocorrelation shows the relationship between Disney stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Walt Disney.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Disney Stock Analysis

When running Disney's price analysis, check to measure Disney's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Disney is operating at the current time. Most of Disney's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Disney's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Disney's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Disney to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.