Electricity Generating (Thailand) Market Value

EGCO Stock  THB 121.50  2.00  1.62%   
Electricity Generating's market value is the price at which a share of Electricity Generating trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Electricity Generating Public investors about its performance. Electricity Generating is selling for 121.50 as of the 15th of December 2024. This is a 1.62 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 121.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Electricity Generating Public and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Electricity Generating over a given investment horizon. Check out Electricity Generating Correlation, Electricity Generating Volatility and Electricity Generating Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Electricity Generating.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Electricity Generating's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Electricity Generating is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Electricity Generating's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Electricity Generating 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Electricity Generating's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Electricity Generating.
0.00
11/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Electricity Generating on November 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Electricity Generating Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in Electricity Generating over 30 days. Electricity Generating is related to or competes with WHA Public, Global Power, TPI Polene, Bangkok Expressway, and BGrimm Power. Electricity Generating Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, generates and sells electricity to govern... More

Electricity Generating Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Electricity Generating's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Electricity Generating Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Electricity Generating Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Electricity Generating's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Electricity Generating's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Electricity Generating historical prices to predict the future Electricity Generating's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
120.25121.50122.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
119.13120.38121.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
119.50120.75122.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
110.66118.47126.28
Details

Electricity Generating Backtested Returns

Electricity Generating secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0096, which denotes the company had a -0.0096% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Electricity Generating Public exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Electricity Generating's Downside Deviation of 1.33, coefficient of variation of 5452.32, and Mean Deviation of 0.9366 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.31, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Electricity Generating's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Electricity Generating is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Electricity Generating has a negative expected return of -0.0121%. Please make sure to confirm Electricity Generating's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Electricity Generating performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.05  

Very weak reverse predictability

Electricity Generating Public has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Electricity Generating time series from 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024 and 30th of November 2024 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Electricity Generating price movement. The serial correlation of -0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current Electricity Generating price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.05
Spearman Rank Test-0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.93

Electricity Generating lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Electricity Generating stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Electricity Generating's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Electricity Generating returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Electricity Generating has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Electricity Generating regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Electricity Generating stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Electricity Generating stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Electricity Generating stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Electricity Generating Lagged Returns

When evaluating Electricity Generating's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Electricity Generating stock have on its future price. Electricity Generating autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Electricity Generating autocorrelation shows the relationship between Electricity Generating stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Electricity Generating Public.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Electricity Stock

Electricity Generating financial ratios help investors to determine whether Electricity Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Electricity with respect to the benefits of owning Electricity Generating security.