East Japan (Germany) Market Value

EJR Stock  EUR 17.65  0.30  1.67%   
East Japan's market value is the price at which a share of East Japan trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of East Japan Railway investors about its performance. East Japan is trading at 17.65 as of the 11th of December 2024. This is a 1.67% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 17.65.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of East Japan Railway and determine expected loss or profit from investing in East Japan over a given investment horizon. Check out East Japan Correlation, East Japan Volatility and East Japan Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on East Japan.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between East Japan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if East Japan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, East Japan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

East Japan 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to East Japan's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of East Japan.
0.00
07/20/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 4 months and 25 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in East Japan on July 20, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding East Japan Railway or generate 0.0% return on investment in East Japan over 510 days. East Japan is related to or competes with CSX, Westinghouse Air, Superior Plus, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, Norsk Hydro, Reliance Steel, and RYOHIN UNSPADR1. East Japan Railway Company operates as a passenger railway company in Japan More

East Japan Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure East Japan's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess East Japan Railway upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

East Japan Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for East Japan's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as East Japan's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use East Japan historical prices to predict the future East Japan's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.7617.6519.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.9616.8518.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.2718.1620.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.0417.9618.87
Details

East Japan Railway Backtested Returns

East Japan Railway secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0057, which denotes the company had a -0.0057% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. East Japan Railway exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm East Japan's Coefficient Of Variation of 11791.55, mean deviation of 1.42, and Downside Deviation of 2.06 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.24, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, East Japan's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding East Japan is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, East Japan Railway has a negative expected return of -0.0109%. Please make sure to confirm East Japan's potential upside, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to decide if East Japan Railway performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.47  

Average predictability

East Japan Railway has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between East Japan time series from 20th of July 2023 to 31st of March 2024 and 31st of March 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of East Japan Railway price movement. The serial correlation of 0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current East Japan price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.47
Spearman Rank Test0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.18

East Japan Railway lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is East Japan stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting East Japan's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of East Japan returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that East Japan has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

East Japan regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If East Japan stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if East Japan stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in East Japan stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

East Japan Lagged Returns

When evaluating East Japan's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of East Japan stock have on its future price. East Japan autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, East Japan autocorrelation shows the relationship between East Japan stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in East Japan Railway.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in East Stock

East Japan financial ratios help investors to determine whether East Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in East with respect to the benefits of owning East Japan security.