EMedia Holdings (South Africa) Market Value

EMN Stock   330.00  19.00  6.11%   
EMedia Holdings' market value is the price at which a share of EMedia Holdings trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of eMedia Holdings Limited investors about its performance. EMedia Holdings is trading at 330.00 as of the 30th of November 2024, a 6.11 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 330.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of eMedia Holdings Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in EMedia Holdings over a given investment horizon. Check out EMedia Holdings Correlation, EMedia Holdings Volatility and EMedia Holdings Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on EMedia Holdings.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between EMedia Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EMedia Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EMedia Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

EMedia Holdings 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to EMedia Holdings' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of EMedia Holdings.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in EMedia Holdings on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding eMedia Holdings Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in EMedia Holdings over 30 days. EMedia Holdings is related to or competes with MultiChoice, Growthpoint Properties, and Shoprite Holdings. More

EMedia Holdings Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure EMedia Holdings' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess eMedia Holdings Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

EMedia Holdings Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for EMedia Holdings' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as EMedia Holdings' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use EMedia Holdings historical prices to predict the future EMedia Holdings' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
328.12330.00331.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
274.48276.36363.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
337.69339.57341.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
301.50320.50339.50
Details

eMedia Holdings Backtested Returns

At this point, EMedia Holdings is very steady. eMedia Holdings secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0348, which denotes the company had a 0.0348% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for eMedia Holdings Limited, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm EMedia Holdings' Downside Deviation of 3.46, semi deviation of 1.29, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0243 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0654%. EMedia Holdings has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.26, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning EMedia Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, EMedia Holdings is likely to outperform the market. eMedia Holdings presently shows a risk of 1.88%. Please confirm eMedia Holdings downside deviation, total risk alpha, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the information ratio and treynor ratio , to decide if eMedia Holdings will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.17  

Very weak predictability

eMedia Holdings Limited has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between EMedia Holdings time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of eMedia Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current EMedia Holdings price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.17
Spearman Rank Test-0.55
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance89.5

eMedia Holdings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is EMedia Holdings stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting EMedia Holdings' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of EMedia Holdings returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that EMedia Holdings has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

EMedia Holdings regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If EMedia Holdings stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if EMedia Holdings stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in EMedia Holdings stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

EMedia Holdings Lagged Returns

When evaluating EMedia Holdings' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of EMedia Holdings stock have on its future price. EMedia Holdings autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, EMedia Holdings autocorrelation shows the relationship between EMedia Holdings stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in eMedia Holdings Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in EMedia Stock

EMedia Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether EMedia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EMedia with respect to the benefits of owning EMedia Holdings security.