ENCE Energa (Spain) Market Value

ENC Stock  EUR 2.70  0.06  2.17%   
ENCE Energa's market value is the price at which a share of ENCE Energa trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ENCE Energa y investors about its performance. ENCE Energa is trading at 2.70 as of the 4th of December 2024, a 2.17% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 2.76.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ENCE Energa y and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ENCE Energa over a given investment horizon. Check out ENCE Energa Correlation, ENCE Energa Volatility and ENCE Energa Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ENCE Energa.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ENCE Energa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ENCE Energa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ENCE Energa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ENCE Energa 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ENCE Energa's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ENCE Energa.
0.00
12/15/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ENCE Energa on December 15, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ENCE Energa y or generate 0.0% return on investment in ENCE Energa over 720 days. ENCE Energa is related to or competes with Acerinox, CIE Automotive, Mapfre, ArcelorMittal, and ACS Actividades. ENCE Energa y Celulosa, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells eucalyptus pulp and renewable energy in... More

ENCE Energa Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ENCE Energa's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ENCE Energa y upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ENCE Energa Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ENCE Energa's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ENCE Energa's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ENCE Energa historical prices to predict the future ENCE Energa's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.372.704.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.002.333.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.272.603.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.722.802.88
Details

ENCE Energa y Backtested Returns

ENCE Energa y retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0723, which denotes the company had a -0.0723% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. ENCE Energa exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm ENCE Energa's Variance of 1.74, standard deviation of 1.32, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.318 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.32, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ENCE Energa are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ENCE Energa is likely to outperform the market. At this point, ENCE Energa y has a negative expected return of -0.0959%. Please make sure to confirm ENCE Energa's treynor ratio, skewness, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and value at risk , to decide if ENCE Energa y performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.19  

Very weak predictability

ENCE Energa y has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ENCE Energa time series from 15th of December 2022 to 10th of December 2023 and 10th of December 2023 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ENCE Energa y price movement. The serial correlation of 0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current ENCE Energa price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.19
Spearman Rank Test0.32
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.05

ENCE Energa y lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ENCE Energa stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ENCE Energa's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ENCE Energa returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ENCE Energa has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ENCE Energa regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ENCE Energa stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ENCE Energa stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ENCE Energa stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ENCE Energa Lagged Returns

When evaluating ENCE Energa's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ENCE Energa stock have on its future price. ENCE Energa autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ENCE Energa autocorrelation shows the relationship between ENCE Energa stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ENCE Energa y.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in ENCE Stock

ENCE Energa financial ratios help investors to determine whether ENCE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ENCE with respect to the benefits of owning ENCE Energa security.