Eramet SA (France) Market Value

ERA Stock  EUR 50.65  0.55  1.10%   
Eramet SA's market value is the price at which a share of Eramet SA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Eramet SA investors about its performance. Eramet SA is trading at 50.65 as of the 1st of December 2024, a 1.10% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 50.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Eramet SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Eramet SA over a given investment horizon. Check out Eramet SA Correlation, Eramet SA Volatility and Eramet SA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Eramet SA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Eramet SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eramet SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eramet SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Eramet SA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Eramet SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Eramet SA.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Eramet SA on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Eramet SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Eramet SA over 30 days. Eramet SA is related to or competes with Imerys SA, Vallourec, Derichebourg, and Soitec SA. ERAMET S.A. operates as a mining and metallurgical company worldwide More

Eramet SA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Eramet SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Eramet SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Eramet SA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Eramet SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Eramet SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Eramet SA historical prices to predict the future Eramet SA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.3850.6553.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.8047.0755.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.6842.9546.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
49.0751.8154.55
Details

Eramet SA Backtested Returns

Eramet SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which denotes the company had a -0.14% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Eramet SA exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Eramet SA's Standard Deviation of 3.24, coefficient of variation of (705.26), and Mean Deviation of 2.29 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.22, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Eramet SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Eramet SA is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Eramet SA has a negative expected return of -0.45%. Please make sure to confirm Eramet SA's value at risk, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to decide if Eramet SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.47  

Average predictability

Eramet SA has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Eramet SA time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Eramet SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Eramet SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.47
Spearman Rank Test0.56
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.82

Eramet SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Eramet SA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Eramet SA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Eramet SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Eramet SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Eramet SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Eramet SA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Eramet SA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Eramet SA stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Eramet SA Lagged Returns

When evaluating Eramet SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Eramet SA stock have on its future price. Eramet SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Eramet SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Eramet SA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Eramet SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Eramet Stock

Eramet SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eramet Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eramet with respect to the benefits of owning Eramet SA security.