Expat Serbia (Germany) Market Value

ESNB Etf  EUR 0.88  0.02  2.33%   
Expat Serbia's market value is the price at which a share of Expat Serbia trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Expat Serbia Belex15 investors about its performance. Expat Serbia is trading at 0.88 as of the 3rd of December 2024. This is a 2.33 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 0.88.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Expat Serbia Belex15 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Expat Serbia over a given investment horizon. Check out Expat Serbia Correlation, Expat Serbia Volatility and Expat Serbia Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Expat Serbia.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Expat Serbia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Expat Serbia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Expat Serbia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Expat Serbia 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Expat Serbia's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Expat Serbia.
0.00
12/14/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Expat Serbia on December 14, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Expat Serbia Belex15 or generate 0.0% return on investment in Expat Serbia over 720 days. More

Expat Serbia Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Expat Serbia's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Expat Serbia Belex15 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Expat Serbia Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Expat Serbia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Expat Serbia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Expat Serbia historical prices to predict the future Expat Serbia's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.882.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.812.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.882.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.870.890.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Expat Serbia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Expat Serbia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Expat Serbia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Expat Serbia Belex15.

Expat Serbia Belex15 Backtested Returns

At this point, Expat Serbia is very risky. Expat Serbia Belex15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0074, which denotes the etf had a 0.0074% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for Expat Serbia Belex15, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Expat Serbia's Mean Deviation of 1.06, standard deviation of 1.53, and Variance of 2.35 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0111%. The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.33, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Expat Serbia's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Expat Serbia is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.30  

Below average predictability

Expat Serbia Belex15 has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Expat Serbia time series from 14th of December 2022 to 9th of December 2023 and 9th of December 2023 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Expat Serbia Belex15 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Expat Serbia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.3
Spearman Rank Test-0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Expat Serbia Belex15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Expat Serbia etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Expat Serbia's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Expat Serbia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Expat Serbia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Expat Serbia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Expat Serbia etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Expat Serbia etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Expat Serbia etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Expat Serbia Lagged Returns

When evaluating Expat Serbia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Expat Serbia etf have on its future price. Expat Serbia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Expat Serbia autocorrelation shows the relationship between Expat Serbia etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Expat Serbia Belex15.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Expat Etf

Expat Serbia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Expat Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Expat with respect to the benefits of owning Expat Serbia security.