Enel Spa Stock Market Value

ESOCF Stock  USD 7.21  0.02  0.28%   
Enel SpA's market value is the price at which a share of Enel SpA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Enel SpA investors about its performance. Enel SpA is trading at 7.21 as of the 3rd of December 2024. This is a 0.28% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 7.08.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Enel SpA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Enel SpA over a given investment horizon. Check out Enel SpA Correlation, Enel SpA Volatility and Enel SpA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Enel SpA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Enel SpA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Enel SpA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Enel SpA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Enel SpA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Enel SpA's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Enel SpA.
0.00
12/14/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Enel SpA on December 14, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Enel SpA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Enel SpA over 720 days. Enel SpA is related to or competes with RWE AG, Iberdrola, Canadian Utilities, Morningstar Unconstrained, High-yield Municipal, Thrivent High, and Via Renewables. Enel SpA operates as an integrated electricity and gas operator worldwide More

Enel SpA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Enel SpA's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Enel SpA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Enel SpA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Enel SpA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Enel SpA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Enel SpA historical prices to predict the future Enel SpA's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Enel SpA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.647.218.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.586.157.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.027.599.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.927.247.55
Details

Enel SpA Backtested Returns

Enel SpA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0394, which denotes the company had a -0.0394% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Enel SpA exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Enel SpA's Variance of 2.41, standard deviation of 1.55, and Mean Deviation of 1.15 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.54, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Enel SpA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Enel SpA is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Enel SpA has a negative expected return of -0.0618%. Please make sure to confirm Enel SpA's skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and daily balance of power , to decide if Enel SpA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.40  

Average predictability

Enel SpA has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Enel SpA time series from 14th of December 2022 to 9th of December 2023 and 9th of December 2023 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Enel SpA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Enel SpA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.4
Spearman Rank Test0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.28

Enel SpA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Enel SpA pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Enel SpA's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Enel SpA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Enel SpA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Enel SpA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Enel SpA pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Enel SpA pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Enel SpA pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Enel SpA Lagged Returns

When evaluating Enel SpA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Enel SpA pink sheet have on its future price. Enel SpA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Enel SpA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Enel SpA pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Enel SpA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Enel Pink Sheet

Enel SpA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Enel Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Enel with respect to the benefits of owning Enel SpA security.