Etsy Inc Stock Market Value
| ETSY Stock | USD 54.78 0.90 1.62% |
| Symbol | Etsy |
Is Broadline Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Etsy. If investors know Etsy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Etsy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Etsy Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Etsy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Etsy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Etsy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Etsy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Etsy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Etsy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Etsy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Etsy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Etsy 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Etsy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Etsy.
| 10/29/2024 |
| 11/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Etsy on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Etsy Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Etsy over 30 days. Etsy is related to or competes with MercadoLibre, PDD Holdings, JD, Alibaba Group, Global E, Chewy, and Sea. Etsy, Inc. operates two-sided online marketplaces that connect buyers and sellers primarily in the United States, the Un... More
Etsy Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Etsy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Etsy Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.43 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.37 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.28) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.43 |
Etsy Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Etsy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Etsy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Etsy historical prices to predict the future Etsy's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0094 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.38) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Etsy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Etsy Inc Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Etsy Stock to be very steady. Etsy Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0032, which denotes the company had a 0.0032% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Etsy Inc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Etsy's Mean Deviation of 1.74, coefficient of variation of 31169.76, and Downside Deviation of 2.43 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.008%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.79, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Etsy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Etsy is expected to be smaller as well. Etsy Inc right now shows a risk of 2.51%. Please confirm Etsy Inc potential upside, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to decide if Etsy Inc will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.27 |
Poor predictability
Etsy Inc has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Etsy time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Etsy Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current Etsy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.27 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.48 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 3.86 |
Etsy Inc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Etsy stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Etsy's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Etsy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Etsy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Etsy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Etsy stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Etsy stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Etsy stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Etsy Lagged Returns
When evaluating Etsy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Etsy stock have on its future price. Etsy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Etsy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Etsy stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Etsy Inc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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When running Etsy's price analysis, check to measure Etsy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Etsy is operating at the current time. Most of Etsy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Etsy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Etsy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Etsy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.