Overseas Series Class Fund Market Value

EXOSX Fund  USD 34.06  0.03  0.09%   
Overseas Series' market value is the price at which a share of Overseas Series trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Overseas Series Class investors about its performance. Overseas Series is trading at 34.06 as of the 12th of December 2024; that is 0.09 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 34.09.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Overseas Series Class and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Overseas Series over a given investment horizon. Check out Overseas Series Correlation, Overseas Series Volatility and Overseas Series Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Overseas Series.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Overseas Series' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Overseas Series is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Overseas Series' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Overseas Series 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Overseas Series' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Overseas Series.
0.00
10/13/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Overseas Series on October 13, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Overseas Series Class or generate 0.0% return on investment in Overseas Series over 60 days. Overseas Series is related to or competes with Columbia Global, Goldman Sachs, Vanguard Information, Firsthand Technology, Janus Global, Invesco Technology, and Science Technology. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its assets in securities of issuers from countries outside the United S... More

Overseas Series Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Overseas Series' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Overseas Series Class upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Overseas Series Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Overseas Series' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Overseas Series' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Overseas Series historical prices to predict the future Overseas Series' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Overseas Series' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.2434.0634.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.8432.6637.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.0134.8335.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.6533.5834.51
Details

Overseas Series Class Backtested Returns

Overseas Series Class maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0068, which implies the entity had a -0.0068% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Overseas Series Class exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Overseas Series' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0163, coefficient of variation of 4757.81, and Semi Deviation of 0.7713 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of 0.0436, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Overseas Series' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Overseas Series is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.76  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Overseas Series Class has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Overseas Series time series from 13th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Overseas Series Class price movement. The serial correlation of -0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current Overseas Series price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.76
Spearman Rank Test-0.68
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.37

Overseas Series Class lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Overseas Series mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Overseas Series' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Overseas Series returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Overseas Series has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Overseas Series regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Overseas Series mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Overseas Series mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Overseas Series mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Overseas Series Lagged Returns

When evaluating Overseas Series' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Overseas Series mutual fund have on its future price. Overseas Series autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Overseas Series autocorrelation shows the relationship between Overseas Series mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Overseas Series Class.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Overseas Mutual Fund

Overseas Series financial ratios help investors to determine whether Overseas Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Overseas with respect to the benefits of owning Overseas Series security.
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