Fairfax Financial Holdings Preferred Stock Market Value

FFH-PM Preferred Stock  CAD 25.00  0.03  0.12%   
Fairfax Financial's market value is the price at which a share of Fairfax Financial trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fairfax Financial Holdings investors about its performance. Fairfax Financial is trading at 25.00 as of the 29th of November 2024, a 0.12 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's open price was 24.97.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fairfax Financial Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fairfax Financial over a given investment horizon. Check out Fairfax Financial Correlation, Fairfax Financial Volatility and Fairfax Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fairfax Financial.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fairfax Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fairfax Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fairfax Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fairfax Financial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fairfax Financial's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fairfax Financial.
0.00
05/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 6 months and 24 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fairfax Financial on May 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fairfax Financial Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fairfax Financial over 570 days. Fairfax Financial is related to or competes with Fairfax Financial, IShares Canadian, PHN Multi, Global X, Altagas Cum, and EcoSynthetix. Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, ... More

Fairfax Financial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fairfax Financial's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fairfax Financial Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fairfax Financial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fairfax Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fairfax Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fairfax Financial historical prices to predict the future Fairfax Financial's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.5625.0025.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.3224.7625.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.4124.8525.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.0424.6625.28
Details

Fairfax Financial Backtested Returns

At this point, Fairfax Financial is very steady. Fairfax Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which denotes the company had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Fairfax Financial Holdings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Fairfax Financial's Downside Deviation of 0.4586, coefficient of variation of 807.01, and Mean Deviation of 0.3329 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0641%. Fairfax Financial has a performance score of 11 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0458, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Fairfax Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fairfax Financial is expected to be smaller as well. Fairfax Financial right now shows a risk of 0.44%. Please confirm Fairfax Financial information ratio, value at risk, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and semi variance , to decide if Fairfax Financial will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

Fairfax Financial Holdings has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fairfax Financial time series from 9th of May 2023 to 18th of February 2024 and 18th of February 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fairfax Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Fairfax Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.52

Fairfax Financial lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fairfax Financial preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fairfax Financial's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fairfax Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fairfax Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fairfax Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fairfax Financial preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fairfax Financial preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fairfax Financial preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fairfax Financial Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fairfax Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fairfax Financial preferred stock have on its future price. Fairfax Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fairfax Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fairfax Financial preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fairfax Financial Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Fairfax Financial

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Fairfax Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Fairfax Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Fairfax Preferred Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Fairfax Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Fairfax Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Fairfax Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Fairfax Financial Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Fairfax Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Fairfax Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Fairfax Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Fairfax Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Fairfax Preferred Stock

Fairfax Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fairfax Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fairfax with respect to the benefits of owning Fairfax Financial security.