Fomento Econmico (Germany) Market Value

FOMA Stock  EUR 82.50  2.00  2.48%   
Fomento Econmico's market value is the price at which a share of Fomento Econmico trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fomento Econmico Mexicano investors about its performance. Fomento Econmico is trading at 82.50 as of the 22nd of December 2024. This is a 2.48 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 82.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fomento Econmico Mexicano and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fomento Econmico over a given investment horizon. Check out Fomento Econmico Correlation, Fomento Econmico Volatility and Fomento Econmico Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fomento Econmico.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fomento Econmico's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fomento Econmico is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fomento Econmico's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fomento Econmico 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fomento Econmico's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fomento Econmico.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fomento Econmico on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fomento Econmico Mexicano or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fomento Econmico over 30 days. Fomento Econmico is related to or competes with Anheuser-Busch InBev, Anheuser Busch, BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4, China Resources, Molson Coors, and MOLSON RS. Fomento Econmico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, operates as a bottler of Coca-Cola trademark bevera... More

Fomento Econmico Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fomento Econmico's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fomento Econmico Mexicano upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fomento Econmico Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fomento Econmico's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fomento Econmico's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fomento Econmico historical prices to predict the future Fomento Econmico's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.1282.5083.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.2584.0085.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
78.9180.2981.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
80.1483.2386.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fomento Econmico. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fomento Econmico's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fomento Econmico's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fomento Econmico Mexicano.

Fomento Econmico Mexicano Backtested Returns

Fomento Econmico Mexicano secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0586, which denotes the company had a -0.0586% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Fomento Econmico Mexicano exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Fomento Econmico's Mean Deviation of 1.02, variance of 1.79, and Standard Deviation of 1.34 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.25, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Fomento Econmico's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fomento Econmico is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Fomento Econmico Mexicano has a negative expected return of -0.0807%. Please make sure to confirm Fomento Econmico's information ratio, total risk alpha, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Fomento Econmico Mexicano performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.53  

Good reverse predictability

Fomento Econmico Mexicano has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fomento Econmico time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fomento Econmico Mexicano price movement. The serial correlation of -0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Fomento Econmico price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.53
Spearman Rank Test-0.62
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.79

Fomento Econmico Mexicano lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fomento Econmico stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fomento Econmico's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fomento Econmico returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fomento Econmico has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fomento Econmico regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fomento Econmico stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fomento Econmico stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fomento Econmico stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fomento Econmico Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fomento Econmico's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fomento Econmico stock have on its future price. Fomento Econmico autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fomento Econmico autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fomento Econmico stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fomento Econmico Mexicano.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Fomento Stock

Fomento Econmico financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fomento Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fomento with respect to the benefits of owning Fomento Econmico security.