Fuller Thaler Behavioral Fund Market Value

FTVNX Fund  USD 35.55  0.20  0.56%   
Fuller Thaler's market value is the price at which a share of Fuller Thaler trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fuller Thaler Behavioral investors about its performance. Fuller Thaler is trading at 35.55 as of the 11th of December 2024; that is 0.56 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 35.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fuller Thaler Behavioral and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fuller Thaler over a given investment horizon. Check out Fuller Thaler Correlation, Fuller Thaler Volatility and Fuller Thaler Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fuller Thaler.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fuller Thaler's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fuller Thaler is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fuller Thaler's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fuller Thaler 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fuller Thaler's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fuller Thaler.
0.00
08/19/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 26 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fuller Thaler on August 19, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fuller Thaler Behavioral or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fuller Thaler over 480 days. Fuller Thaler is related to or competes with Blackrock, Huber Capital, Sentinel Small, Pgim Jennison, and Jhancock Diversified. The fund seeks to achieve its objective by investing at least 80 percent of its net assets in common stocks of medium ca... More

Fuller Thaler Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fuller Thaler's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fuller Thaler Behavioral upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fuller Thaler Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fuller Thaler's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fuller Thaler's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fuller Thaler historical prices to predict the future Fuller Thaler's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.6735.5536.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.5935.4736.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.1535.0335.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.1835.9636.73
Details

Fuller Thaler Behavioral Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Fuller Mutual Fund to be very steady. Fuller Thaler Behavioral secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which denotes the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Fuller Thaler Behavioral, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Fuller Thaler's Mean Deviation of 0.6468, downside deviation of 0.6909, and Coefficient Of Variation of 995.35 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0971%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.96, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Fuller Thaler returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Fuller Thaler is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.87  

Very good predictability

Fuller Thaler Behavioral has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fuller Thaler time series from 19th of August 2023 to 15th of April 2024 and 15th of April 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fuller Thaler Behavioral price movement. The serial correlation of 0.87 indicates that approximately 87.0% of current Fuller Thaler price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.87
Spearman Rank Test0.85
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.07

Fuller Thaler Behavioral lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fuller Thaler mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fuller Thaler's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fuller Thaler returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fuller Thaler has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fuller Thaler regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fuller Thaler mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fuller Thaler mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fuller Thaler mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fuller Thaler Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fuller Thaler's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fuller Thaler mutual fund have on its future price. Fuller Thaler autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fuller Thaler autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fuller Thaler mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fuller Thaler Behavioral.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Fuller Mutual Fund

Fuller Thaler financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fuller Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fuller with respect to the benefits of owning Fuller Thaler security.
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