Fidelity Mega Cap Fund Market Value

FZALX Fund  USD 26.33  0.11  0.42%   
Fidelity Mega's market value is the price at which a share of Fidelity Mega trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fidelity Mega Cap investors about its performance. Fidelity Mega is trading at 26.33 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.42% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 26.44.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fidelity Mega Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fidelity Mega over a given investment horizon. Check out Fidelity Mega Correlation, Fidelity Mega Volatility and Fidelity Mega Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fidelity Mega.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fidelity Mega's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fidelity Mega is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fidelity Mega's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fidelity Mega 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fidelity Mega's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fidelity Mega.
0.00
05/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 6 months and 24 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fidelity Mega on May 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fidelity Mega Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fidelity Mega over 570 days. Fidelity Mega is related to or competes with Morningstar Unconstrained, Thrivent High, Via Renewables, Bayview Acquisition, T Rowe, Coca Cola, and Sitka Gold. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in common stocks of companies with mega market capitalizations More

Fidelity Mega Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fidelity Mega's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fidelity Mega Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fidelity Mega Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fidelity Mega's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fidelity Mega's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fidelity Mega historical prices to predict the future Fidelity Mega's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.6526.3327.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.3226.0026.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.6526.3327.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.2226.0026.78
Details

Fidelity Mega Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Fidelity Mutual Fund to be very steady. Fidelity Mega Cap secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.21, which denotes the fund had a 0.21% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Fidelity Mega Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Fidelity Mega's Downside Deviation of 0.7787, coefficient of variation of 701.5, and Mean Deviation of 0.5065 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.82, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Fidelity Mega's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fidelity Mega is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.85  

Very good predictability

Fidelity Mega Cap has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fidelity Mega time series from 9th of May 2023 to 18th of February 2024 and 18th of February 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fidelity Mega Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Fidelity Mega price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.85
Spearman Rank Test0.77
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.62

Fidelity Mega Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fidelity Mega mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fidelity Mega's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fidelity Mega returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fidelity Mega has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fidelity Mega regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fidelity Mega mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fidelity Mega mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fidelity Mega mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fidelity Mega Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fidelity Mega's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fidelity Mega mutual fund have on its future price. Fidelity Mega autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fidelity Mega autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fidelity Mega mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fidelity Mega Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund

Fidelity Mega financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Mega security.
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