Geodrill Limited Stock Market Value

GEO Stock  CAD 2.80  0.04  1.41%   
Geodrill's market value is the price at which a share of Geodrill trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Geodrill Limited investors about its performance. Geodrill is selling at 2.80 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 1.41 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 2.84.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Geodrill Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Geodrill over a given investment horizon. Check out Geodrill Correlation, Geodrill Volatility and Geodrill Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Geodrill.
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Geodrill Limited Price To Book Ratio

Please note, there is a significant difference between Geodrill's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geodrill is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geodrill's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Geodrill 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Geodrill's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Geodrill.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Geodrill on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Geodrill Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Geodrill over 30 days. Geodrill is related to or competes with Dynacor Gold, Foraco International, Hammond Power, and Firan Technology. Geodrill Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides exploration and development drilling services to various mini... More

Geodrill Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Geodrill's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Geodrill Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Geodrill Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Geodrill's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Geodrill's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Geodrill historical prices to predict the future Geodrill's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.612.804.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.562.754.95
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.070.070.07
Details

Geodrill Limited Backtested Returns

As of now, Geodrill Stock is moderately volatile. Geodrill Limited holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0617, which attests that the entity had a 0.0617% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Geodrill Limited, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Geodrill's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0359, downside deviation of 2.35, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1222 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. Geodrill has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.66, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Geodrill's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Geodrill is expected to be smaller as well. Geodrill Limited right now retains a risk of 2.19%. Please check out Geodrill treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to decide if Geodrill will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.20  

Weak predictability

Geodrill Limited has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Geodrill time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Geodrill Limited price movement. The serial correlation of 0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current Geodrill price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.2
Spearman Rank Test-0.64
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Geodrill Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Geodrill stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Geodrill's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Geodrill returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Geodrill has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Geodrill regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Geodrill stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Geodrill stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Geodrill stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Geodrill Lagged Returns

When evaluating Geodrill's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Geodrill stock have on its future price. Geodrill autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Geodrill autocorrelation shows the relationship between Geodrill stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Geodrill Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Geodrill

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Geodrill position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Geodrill will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Geodrill Stock

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Moving against Geodrill Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Geodrill could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Geodrill when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Geodrill - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Geodrill Limited to buy it.
The correlation of Geodrill is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Geodrill moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Geodrill Limited moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Geodrill can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Geodrill Stock

Geodrill financial ratios help investors to determine whether Geodrill Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Geodrill with respect to the benefits of owning Geodrill security.