Global Bond Fund Market Value

GGBFX Fund  USD 8.62  0.08  0.92%   
Global Bond's market value is the price at which a share of Global Bond trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Global Bond Fund investors about its performance. Global Bond is trading at 8.62 as of the 11th of December 2024; that is 0.92% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Global Bond Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Global Bond over a given investment horizon. Check out Global Bond Correlation, Global Bond Volatility and Global Bond Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Global Bond.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Bond's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Bond is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Bond's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Global Bond 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Global Bond's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Global Bond.
0.00
06/14/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Global Bond on June 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Global Bond Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Global Bond over 180 days. Global Bond is related to or competes with Templeton Global, Templeton Global, Capital World, Capital World, Capital World, Capital World, and Capital World. The fund invests mainly in a diversified portfolio of fixed income instruments of varying maturities and quality across ... More

Global Bond Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Global Bond's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Global Bond Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Global Bond Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Global Bond's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Global Bond's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Global Bond historical prices to predict the future Global Bond's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.348.628.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.378.658.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.398.678.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.568.648.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Global Bond. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Global Bond's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Global Bond's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Global Bond Fund.

Global Bond Fund Backtested Returns

Global Bond Fund holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.14, which attests that the entity had a -0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Global Bond Fund exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Global Bond's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11), market risk adjusted performance of (0.68), and Standard Deviation of 0.276 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0643, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Global Bond's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Global Bond is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.85  

Excellent reverse predictability

Global Bond Fund has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Global Bond time series from 14th of June 2024 to 12th of September 2024 and 12th of September 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Global Bond Fund price movement. The serial correlation of -0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Global Bond price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.85
Spearman Rank Test-0.77
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Global Bond Fund lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Global Bond mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Global Bond's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Global Bond returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Global Bond has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Global Bond regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Global Bond mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Global Bond mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Global Bond mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Global Bond Lagged Returns

When evaluating Global Bond's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Global Bond mutual fund have on its future price. Global Bond autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Global Bond autocorrelation shows the relationship between Global Bond mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Global Bond Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Global Mutual Fund

Global Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Bond security.
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