Global Knafaim (Israel) Market Value

GKL Stock   79.50  0.80  1.00%   
Global Knafaim's market value is the price at which a share of Global Knafaim trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Global Knafaim Leasing investors about its performance. Global Knafaim is trading at 79.50 as of the 14th of December 2024, a 1 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 80.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Global Knafaim Leasing and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Global Knafaim over a given investment horizon. Check out Global Knafaim Correlation, Global Knafaim Volatility and Global Knafaim Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Global Knafaim.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Knafaim's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Knafaim is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Knafaim's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Global Knafaim 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Global Knafaim's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Global Knafaim.
0.00
11/14/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/14/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Global Knafaim on November 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Global Knafaim Leasing or generate 0.0% return on investment in Global Knafaim over 30 days. Global Knafaim is related to or competes with Knafaim, El Al, Orbit Technologies, and Ashot Ashkelon. Global Knafaim Leasing Ltd. engages in the acquisition, leasing, and sale of aircraft for airline companies in North Ame... More

Global Knafaim Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Global Knafaim's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Global Knafaim Leasing upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Global Knafaim Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Global Knafaim's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Global Knafaim's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Global Knafaim historical prices to predict the future Global Knafaim's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
76.8379.5082.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
73.6576.3287.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
85.4088.0890.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
66.6975.1183.53
Details

Global Knafaim Leasing Backtested Returns

Global Knafaim appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Global Knafaim Leasing holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.28, which attests that the entity had a 0.28% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By evaluating Global Knafaim's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.74% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Global Knafaim's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1977, market risk adjusted performance of (1.28), and Downside Deviation of 1.61 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Global Knafaim holds a performance score of 21. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.46, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Global Knafaim are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Global Knafaim is likely to outperform the market. Please check Global Knafaim's downside variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Global Knafaim's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.77  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Global Knafaim Leasing has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Global Knafaim time series from 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024 and 29th of November 2024 to 14th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Global Knafaim Leasing price movement. The serial correlation of -0.77 indicates that around 77.0% of current Global Knafaim price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.77
Spearman Rank Test-0.62
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.29

Global Knafaim Leasing lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Global Knafaim stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Global Knafaim's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Global Knafaim returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Global Knafaim has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Global Knafaim regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Global Knafaim stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Global Knafaim stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Global Knafaim stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Global Knafaim Lagged Returns

When evaluating Global Knafaim's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Global Knafaim stock have on its future price. Global Knafaim autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Global Knafaim autocorrelation shows the relationship between Global Knafaim stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Global Knafaim Leasing.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Global Stock

Global Knafaim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Knafaim security.