Gabelli Global Mini Fund Market Value

GMNAX Fund  USD 12.35  0.19  1.56%   
Gabelli Global's market value is the price at which a share of Gabelli Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gabelli Global Mini investors about its performance. Gabelli Global is trading at 12.35 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 1.56% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.16.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gabelli Global Mini and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gabelli Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Gabelli Global Correlation, Gabelli Global Volatility and Gabelli Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gabelli Global.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Gabelli Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gabelli Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gabelli Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gabelli Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gabelli Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gabelli Global.
0.00
12/12/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gabelli Global on December 12, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gabelli Global Mini or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gabelli Global over 720 days. Gabelli Global is related to or competes with Gabelli Esg, Gabelli Global, The Gabelli, Gamco International, Enterprise Mergers, Enterprise Mergers, and Enterprise Mergers. The fund primarily invests in equity securities of micro-cap companies, which the managers define as companies that have... More

Gabelli Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gabelli Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gabelli Global Mini upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gabelli Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gabelli Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gabelli Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gabelli Global historical prices to predict the future Gabelli Global's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3612.3513.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.7812.7713.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.5212.5113.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.4712.0112.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gabelli Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gabelli Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gabelli Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gabelli Global Mini.

Gabelli Global Mini Backtested Returns

Gabelli Global appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Gabelli Global Mini holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.23, which attests that the entity had a 0.23% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Gabelli Global Mini, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize Gabelli Global's market risk adjusted performance of 0.2019, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1614 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.06, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Gabelli Global returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Gabelli Global is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.06  

Virtually no predictability

Gabelli Global Mini has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gabelli Global time series from 12th of December 2022 to 7th of December 2023 and 7th of December 2023 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gabelli Global Mini price movement. The serial correlation of 0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current Gabelli Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.06
Spearman Rank Test0.32
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.2

Gabelli Global Mini lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gabelli Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gabelli Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gabelli Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gabelli Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gabelli Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gabelli Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gabelli Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gabelli Global mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gabelli Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gabelli Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gabelli Global mutual fund have on its future price. Gabelli Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gabelli Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gabelli Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gabelli Global Mini.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Gabelli Mutual Fund

Gabelli Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabelli Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabelli with respect to the benefits of owning Gabelli Global security.
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