Grandeur Peak Global Fund Market Value

GPGOX Fund  USD 3.53  0.01  0.28%   
Grandeur Peak's market value is the price at which a share of Grandeur Peak trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Grandeur Peak Global investors about its performance. Grandeur Peak is trading at 3.53 as of the 9th of December 2024; that is 0.28 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 3.52.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Grandeur Peak Global and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Grandeur Peak over a given investment horizon. Check out Grandeur Peak Correlation, Grandeur Peak Volatility and Grandeur Peak Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Grandeur Peak.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Grandeur Peak's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grandeur Peak is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grandeur Peak's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Grandeur Peak 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Grandeur Peak's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Grandeur Peak.
0.00
12/20/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/09/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Grandeur Peak on December 20, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Grandeur Peak Global or generate 0.0% return on investment in Grandeur Peak over 720 days. Grandeur Peak is related to or competes with Eventide Healthcare, Highland Long/short, Alger Health, The Hartford, Baillie Gifford, and Delaware Healthcare. The fund invests primarily in foreign and domestic small- and micro-cap companies More

Grandeur Peak Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Grandeur Peak's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Grandeur Peak Global upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Grandeur Peak Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Grandeur Peak's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Grandeur Peak's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Grandeur Peak historical prices to predict the future Grandeur Peak's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.763.534.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.773.544.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.803.574.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.433.493.55
Details

Grandeur Peak Global Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Grandeur Mutual Fund to be not too volatile. Grandeur Peak Global holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0211, which attests that the entity had a 0.0211% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for Grandeur Peak Global, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Grandeur Peak's risk adjusted performance of (0.0004), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0163%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.62, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Grandeur Peak's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Grandeur Peak is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.17  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Grandeur Peak Global has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Grandeur Peak time series from 20th of December 2022 to 15th of December 2023 and 15th of December 2023 to 9th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Grandeur Peak Global price movement. The serial correlation of -0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Grandeur Peak price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.17
Spearman Rank Test-0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Grandeur Peak Global lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Grandeur Peak mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Grandeur Peak's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Grandeur Peak returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Grandeur Peak has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Grandeur Peak regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Grandeur Peak mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Grandeur Peak mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Grandeur Peak mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Grandeur Peak Lagged Returns

When evaluating Grandeur Peak's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Grandeur Peak mutual fund have on its future price. Grandeur Peak autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Grandeur Peak autocorrelation shows the relationship between Grandeur Peak mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Grandeur Peak Global.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Grandeur Mutual Fund

Grandeur Peak financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grandeur Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grandeur with respect to the benefits of owning Grandeur Peak security.
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