Guidepath Flexible Income Fund Market Value

GPIFX Fund  USD 9.13  0.03  0.33%   
Guidepath(r) Flexible's market value is the price at which a share of Guidepath(r) Flexible trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Guidepath Flexible Income investors about its performance. Guidepath(r) Flexible is trading at 9.13 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.33 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Guidepath Flexible Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Guidepath(r) Flexible over a given investment horizon. Check out Guidepath(r) Flexible Correlation, Guidepath(r) Flexible Volatility and Guidepath(r) Flexible Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Guidepath(r) Flexible.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Guidepath(r) Flexible's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guidepath(r) Flexible is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guidepath(r) Flexible's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Guidepath(r) Flexible 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guidepath(r) Flexible's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guidepath(r) Flexible.
0.00
12/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Guidepath(r) Flexible on December 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guidepath Flexible Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guidepath(r) Flexible over 360 days. Guidepath(r) Flexible is related to or competes with Blackrock Government, Franklin Adjustable, Us Government, Government Securities, and Inverse Government. The fund operates as a fund of funds, investing primarily in registered mutual funds and exchange-traded funds More

Guidepath(r) Flexible Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guidepath(r) Flexible's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guidepath Flexible Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Guidepath(r) Flexible Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guidepath(r) Flexible's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guidepath(r) Flexible's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guidepath(r) Flexible historical prices to predict the future Guidepath(r) Flexible's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.899.109.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.889.099.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.909.119.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.979.049.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guidepath(r) Flexible. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guidepath(r) Flexible's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guidepath(r) Flexible's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guidepath Flexible Income.

Guidepath Flexible Income Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund to be very steady. Guidepath Flexible Income holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.11, which attests that the entity had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Guidepath Flexible Income, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Guidepath(r) Flexible's Downside Deviation of 0.2723, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1543, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0415 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0244%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0599, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Guidepath(r) Flexible's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guidepath(r) Flexible is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.42  

Average predictability

Guidepath Flexible Income has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guidepath(r) Flexible time series from 8th of December 2023 to 5th of June 2024 and 5th of June 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guidepath Flexible Income price movement. The serial correlation of 0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current Guidepath(r) Flexible price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.42
Spearman Rank Test0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Guidepath Flexible Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Guidepath(r) Flexible mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guidepath(r) Flexible's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guidepath(r) Flexible returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guidepath(r) Flexible has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Guidepath(r) Flexible regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guidepath(r) Flexible mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guidepath(r) Flexible mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guidepath(r) Flexible mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Guidepath(r) Flexible Lagged Returns

When evaluating Guidepath(r) Flexible's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guidepath(r) Flexible mutual fund have on its future price. Guidepath(r) Flexible autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guidepath(r) Flexible autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guidepath(r) Flexible mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guidepath Flexible Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund

Guidepath(r) Flexible financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guidepath(r) with respect to the benefits of owning Guidepath(r) Flexible security.
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