Aberdeen Multi Cap Equity Fund Market Value

GXXCX Fund  USD 8.82  0.03  0.34%   
Aberdeen's market value is the price at which a share of Aberdeen trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aberdeen Multi Cap Equity investors about its performance. Aberdeen is trading at 8.82 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 0.34 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.79.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aberdeen Multi Cap Equity and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aberdeen over a given investment horizon. Check out Aberdeen Correlation, Aberdeen Volatility and Aberdeen Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aberdeen.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aberdeen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aberdeen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aberdeen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aberdeen 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aberdeen's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aberdeen.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aberdeen on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aberdeen Multi Cap Equity or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aberdeen over 30 days. Aberdeen is related to or competes with Aberdeen Emerging, Aberdeen Emerging, Aberdeen Emerging, Aberdeen Gbl, Aberdeen Gbl, Columbia Seligman, and Aberdeen Global. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective of seeking long-term capital appreciation by investing primarily in e... More

Aberdeen Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aberdeen's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aberdeen Multi Cap Equity upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aberdeen Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aberdeen's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aberdeen's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aberdeen historical prices to predict the future Aberdeen's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aberdeen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.098.829.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.008.739.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.198.929.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.478.708.93
Details

Aberdeen Multi Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Aberdeen Mutual Fund to be very steady. Aberdeen Multi Cap secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which signifies that the fund had a 0.15% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Aberdeen Multi Cap Equity, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Aberdeen's risk adjusted performance of 0.0966, and Mean Deviation of 0.575 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.81, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Aberdeen's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aberdeen is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.89  

Very good predictability

Aberdeen Multi Cap Equity has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aberdeen time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aberdeen Multi Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.89 indicates that approximately 89.0% of current Aberdeen price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.89
Spearman Rank Test0.65
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Aberdeen Multi Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aberdeen mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aberdeen's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aberdeen returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aberdeen has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aberdeen regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aberdeen mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aberdeen mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aberdeen mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aberdeen Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aberdeen's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aberdeen mutual fund have on its future price. Aberdeen autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aberdeen autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aberdeen mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aberdeen Multi Cap Equity.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Mutual Fund

Aberdeen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberdeen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberdeen with respect to the benefits of owning Aberdeen security.
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