Harbor Bond Fund Market Value

HABDX Fund  USD 10.25  0.03  0.29%   
Harbor Bond's market value is the price at which a share of Harbor Bond trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Harbor Bond Fund investors about its performance. Harbor Bond is trading at 10.25 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.29 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.22.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Harbor Bond Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Harbor Bond over a given investment horizon. Check out Harbor Bond Correlation, Harbor Bond Volatility and Harbor Bond Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Harbor Bond.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Harbor Bond's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Harbor Bond is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Harbor Bond's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Harbor Bond 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Harbor Bond's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Harbor Bond.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Harbor Bond on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Harbor Bond Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Harbor Bond over 30 days. Harbor Bond is related to or competes with Aqr Managed, American Funds, and Arrow Managed. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus borrowings for investment purposes, in a diversified portfo... More

Harbor Bond Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Harbor Bond's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Harbor Bond Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Harbor Bond Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Harbor Bond's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Harbor Bond's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Harbor Bond historical prices to predict the future Harbor Bond's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Harbor Bond's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9410.2510.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.599.9011.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.9810.2910.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0810.1810.28
Details

Harbor Bond Fund Backtested Returns

Harbor Bond Fund holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.018, which attests that the entity had a -0.018% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Harbor Bond Fund exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Harbor Bond's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2569, standard deviation of 0.316, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0624, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Harbor Bond are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Harbor Bond is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.02  

Very weak reverse predictability

Harbor Bond Fund has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Harbor Bond time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Harbor Bond Fund price movement. The serial correlation of -0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Harbor Bond price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.02
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Harbor Bond Fund lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Harbor Bond mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Harbor Bond's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Harbor Bond returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Harbor Bond has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Harbor Bond regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Harbor Bond mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Harbor Bond mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Harbor Bond mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Harbor Bond Lagged Returns

When evaluating Harbor Bond's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Harbor Bond mutual fund have on its future price. Harbor Bond autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Harbor Bond autocorrelation shows the relationship between Harbor Bond mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Harbor Bond Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in HARBOR Mutual Fund

Harbor Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether HARBOR Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HARBOR with respect to the benefits of owning Harbor Bond security.
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