Helios Fairfax Partners Stock Market Value

HFPC-U Stock  USD 2.90  0.10  3.33%   
Helios Fairfax's market value is the price at which a share of Helios Fairfax trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Helios Fairfax Partners investors about its performance. Helios Fairfax is trading at 2.90 as of the 29th of November 2024, a 3.33% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 3.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Helios Fairfax Partners and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Helios Fairfax over a given investment horizon. Check out Helios Fairfax Correlation, Helios Fairfax Volatility and Helios Fairfax Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Helios Fairfax.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Helios Fairfax's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Helios Fairfax is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Helios Fairfax's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Helios Fairfax 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Helios Fairfax's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Helios Fairfax.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Helios Fairfax on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Helios Fairfax Partners or generate 0.0% return on investment in Helios Fairfax over 30 days. Helios Fairfax is related to or competes with IShares Canadian, PHN Multi, Global X, Altagas Cum, EcoSynthetix, Financial, and Rubicon Organics. Helios Fairfax Partners Corporation, an investment holding company, engages in the investment activities in Africa More

Helios Fairfax Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Helios Fairfax's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Helios Fairfax Partners upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Helios Fairfax Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Helios Fairfax's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Helios Fairfax's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Helios Fairfax historical prices to predict the future Helios Fairfax's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.082.905.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.365.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.203.025.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.712.863.01
Details

Helios Fairfax Partners Backtested Returns

Helios Fairfax appears to be unstable, given 3 months investment horizon. Helios Fairfax Partners holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0988, which attests that the entity had a 0.0988% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Helios Fairfax Partners, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Helios Fairfax's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0789, downside deviation of 4.71, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (3.78) to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Helios Fairfax holds a performance score of 7. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0649, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Helios Fairfax are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Helios Fairfax is likely to outperform the market. Please check Helios Fairfax's information ratio, total risk alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Helios Fairfax's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.49  

Average predictability

Helios Fairfax Partners has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Helios Fairfax time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Helios Fairfax Partners price movement. The serial correlation of 0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current Helios Fairfax price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.49
Spearman Rank Test0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Helios Fairfax Partners lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Helios Fairfax stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Helios Fairfax's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Helios Fairfax returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Helios Fairfax has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Helios Fairfax regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Helios Fairfax stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Helios Fairfax stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Helios Fairfax stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Helios Fairfax Lagged Returns

When evaluating Helios Fairfax's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Helios Fairfax stock have on its future price. Helios Fairfax autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Helios Fairfax autocorrelation shows the relationship between Helios Fairfax stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Helios Fairfax Partners.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Helios Fairfax

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Helios Fairfax position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Helios Fairfax will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Helios Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Helios Fairfax could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Helios Fairfax when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Helios Fairfax - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Helios Fairfax Partners to buy it.
The correlation of Helios Fairfax is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Helios Fairfax moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Helios Fairfax Partners moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Helios Fairfax can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Helios Stock

Helios Fairfax financial ratios help investors to determine whether Helios Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Helios with respect to the benefits of owning Helios Fairfax security.