HEDGE Brasil (Brazil) Market Value

HGBS11 Fund  BRL 193.01  2.00  1.03%   
HEDGE Brasil's market value is the price at which a share of HEDGE Brasil trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HEDGE Brasil Shopping investors about its performance. HEDGE Brasil is trading at 193.01 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 1.03% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 195.01.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HEDGE Brasil Shopping and determine expected loss or profit from investing in HEDGE Brasil over a given investment horizon. Check out HEDGE Brasil Correlation, HEDGE Brasil Volatility and HEDGE Brasil Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on HEDGE Brasil.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between HEDGE Brasil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HEDGE Brasil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HEDGE Brasil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

HEDGE Brasil 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to HEDGE Brasil's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of HEDGE Brasil.
0.00
05/06/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 6 months and 30 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in HEDGE Brasil on May 6, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HEDGE Brasil Shopping or generate 0.0% return on investment in HEDGE Brasil over 210 days. CSHG Brasil Shopping FII specializes in real estate investing More

HEDGE Brasil Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure HEDGE Brasil's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HEDGE Brasil Shopping upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

HEDGE Brasil Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for HEDGE Brasil's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as HEDGE Brasil's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use HEDGE Brasil historical prices to predict the future HEDGE Brasil's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
192.31193.01193.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
189.72190.42212.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
197.16197.86198.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
191.65195.89200.14
Details

HEDGE Brasil Shopping Backtested Returns

HEDGE Brasil Shopping holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.2, which attests that the entity had a -0.2% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. HEDGE Brasil Shopping exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out HEDGE Brasil's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.14), risk adjusted performance of (0.14), and Coefficient Of Variation of (540.64) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.12, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, HEDGE Brasil's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding HEDGE Brasil is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.52  

Modest predictability

HEDGE Brasil Shopping has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between HEDGE Brasil time series from 6th of May 2024 to 19th of August 2024 and 19th of August 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HEDGE Brasil Shopping price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current HEDGE Brasil price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance42.38

HEDGE Brasil Shopping lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is HEDGE Brasil fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting HEDGE Brasil's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of HEDGE Brasil returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that HEDGE Brasil has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

HEDGE Brasil regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If HEDGE Brasil fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if HEDGE Brasil fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in HEDGE Brasil fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

HEDGE Brasil Lagged Returns

When evaluating HEDGE Brasil's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of HEDGE Brasil fund have on its future price. HEDGE Brasil autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, HEDGE Brasil autocorrelation shows the relationship between HEDGE Brasil fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HEDGE Brasil Shopping.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in HEDGE Fund

HEDGE Brasil financial ratios help investors to determine whether HEDGE Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HEDGE with respect to the benefits of owning HEDGE Brasil security.
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