Hartford Capital Appreciation Fund Market Value

HIBCX Fund  USD 54.90  0.11  0.20%   
Hartford Capital's market value is the price at which a share of Hartford Capital trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hartford Capital Appreciation investors about its performance. Hartford Capital is trading at 54.90 as of the 3rd of December 2024; that is 0.20 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 54.79.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hartford Capital Appreciation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hartford Capital over a given investment horizon. Check out Hartford Capital Correlation, Hartford Capital Volatility and Hartford Capital Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hartford Capital.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Hartford Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hartford Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hartford Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hartford Capital 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hartford Capital's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hartford Capital.
0.00
11/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hartford Capital on November 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hartford Capital Appreciation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hartford Capital over 30 days. Hartford Capital is related to or competes with Hartford Growth, Hartford Growth, Hartford Growth, Hartford Growth, Hartford Growth, Hartford Growth, and Hartford Growth. The fund normally invests at least 65 percent of its net assets in common stocks More

Hartford Capital Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hartford Capital's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hartford Capital Appreciation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hartford Capital Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hartford Capital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hartford Capital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hartford Capital historical prices to predict the future Hartford Capital's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hartford Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.2354.9055.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.6154.2854.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
54.5155.1855.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
52.9253.7954.65
Details

Hartford Capital App Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Hartford Mutual Fund to be very steady. Hartford Capital App holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.2, which attests that the entity had a 0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Hartford Capital App, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Hartford Capital's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.117, downside deviation of 0.8231, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.139 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.78, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Hartford Capital's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Hartford Capital is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.52  

Modest predictability

Hartford Capital Appreciation has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hartford Capital time series from 3rd of November 2024 to 18th of November 2024 and 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hartford Capital App price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Hartford Capital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.26

Hartford Capital App lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hartford Capital mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hartford Capital's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hartford Capital returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hartford Capital has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hartford Capital regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hartford Capital mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hartford Capital mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hartford Capital mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hartford Capital Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hartford Capital's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hartford Capital mutual fund have on its future price. Hartford Capital autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hartford Capital autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hartford Capital mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hartford Capital Appreciation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Hartford Mutual Fund

Hartford Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hartford Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hartford with respect to the benefits of owning Hartford Capital security.
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